The votes of PSOE, Sumar, ERC, Junts per Catalunya, EH Bildu, PNV, BNG and that of José Luis Ábalos – which since the outbreak of the Koldo case He is an independent deputy― total 174 seats. Those of PP, Vox and UPN, 171. These are the numbers that are more or less clear ahead of the vote on the opinion of the European directive converted into a miniature tax reform that is debated and voted on this Thursday in Congress. The decisive element will be Can.
Those of Ione Belarra and the Government are, at the moment, in full negotiations. This is how sources from both sides explain it. If there are no last minute changes and all the forecasts are met, everything will depend this Thursday on your four votes. With them, the “yes” would add 178 seats for the 171 of the “no”. In the event that Podemos ends up voting against, the “no” would obtain 175 supports, while the “yes” would remain with 174. At that point, it would become relevant Canarian Coalitionalthough your vote would not be decisive either.
If the formation that represents Cristina Valido in Congress decided to support the ruling and there was a tie at 175, the vote would be repeated up to two times and, if the stalemate persisted, it would end. decaying. Therefore, the favorable vote of the Canarians – if Podemos votes against – would only serve to give a last-minute opportunity to the Executive to save the vote. At that time, they would have to get the support of some party. As you have been able to know Publicthe Canary Coalition have not yet decided the meaning of their vote. ““We are negotiating”respond to this medium, “will have to wait“If Podemos abstains, the ruling will go forward.
It must be taken into account that within the framework of this bill, this Thursday, two different things will be voted on: the opinion that came out of the Finance Commission this Monday and a series of amendments that remained alive and they will be voted on separately.
The first of the two votes includes the global minimum tax of 15% for multinational companieswhich is the basis of the bill and which, in turn, is based on a mandatory directive of the European Union (EU). However, during its passage through the committee – after the dramatic end this Monday – several amendments were added that make the opinion in a miniature tax reform. Thus, the text also includes an increase of two points in personal income tax for the highest incomes, a greater tax burden for tobacco or a legislative change to prevent tobacco companies from hydrocarbons enjoy tax benefits.
All of this will be voted on together. Either yes to everything, or no to everything. Something different is the bank tax, which, along with other amendments that were rejected in committee, was will vote independently definitively in the plenary session. ERC, EH Bildu and BNG committed in a statement this Monday to approve the bank tax increasing the highest bracket in the tax. This is a pact with the PSOE that is paired with the one-year extension of the tax on energy companies with which the three sovereignist leftist parties surprised everyone and everyone on Monday night.
Podemos conditions
They were a very turbulent few hours. ERC, EH Bildu and BNG sent a statement announcing both agreements: the banking tax and the one-year extension of the tax on energy companies. The formula for the latter? A Royal Decree-Law promoted by the Government. That was a good turn, but even more pronounced was the one carried out by the Treasury when he sent another statement in which he stated that not a single point of the agreement reached with Junts per Catalunya will be touched and that no tax will be levied on energy companies that invest in decarbonization.
It seems difficult to combine both agreements. However, from the PSOE they emphasize that it is not contradictory support a tax on energy companies that excludes those that contribute to decarbonization. In principle, it is something that Esquerra does not view with bad eyes. This has been confirmed by the deputy Pilar Vallugera in an interview for TV3. What, according to what he has been able to know Publicit is not at all clear that Junts per Catalunya would give its votes to a decree like that. An important figure in the parliamentary group insists that “we will have to read and study the decree“.
In Can They do not trust the agreement that ERC, EH Bildu and BNG transferred on Monday. The purple ones have confirmed that they also received the offer to be part of it, but they declined.
To grant its support this Thursday, Podemos demands two things. On the one hand, the commitment of a decree that extends the tax on energy companies without surnames, that is, no exceptions of any kind. “If not,” completes a source familiar with the negotiations that are taking place with the PSOE, “we would have a tax on energy companies that will not include the large energy companies“On the other hand, those from Belarra also want the Government to make some type of announcement confirming that the decree will have the support of Junts. If these conditions are not met, they assure, the vote will be a “no”. know this medium, Junts is not considered in no scenario secure your support to a possible decree before Thursday.
Furthermore, in Podemos there is a certain discomfort about how these negotiations have been carried out in Congress. They complain that they are presented as the most intransigent group capable of overturning social profile measures. In conversation with Publicinsist that they are willing to negotiate a tax reform, but not one “decaffeinated” and “agreed before with the right” as the one that, they consider, will bring the coalition government to plenary session.
That’s how things are, everything is open. In Podemos they expect movements from the PSOE and it is not the only party that does so. After the announcement of energy taxit seems difficult for a party like Esquerra – which is part of the pact – to vote against. However, sources from the Republican Group point out that they also hope that the socialists “verbalize“a public commitment, currently non-existent, about compliance with the agreement.
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