Carlos Alcaraz’s victory this Wednesday over the Russian Rublev was vital for the Murcian to maintain his chances of playing in the semifinals of the ATP Finalsthe old Masters Cup, which brings together the eight best tennis players of the course in Turin. This Friday the Spaniard’s rival will be the German Alexander Zverevin a duel that he must win if he wants to stay alive in the tournament, although victory may not be enough depending on the results that occur on the last day of the first phase.
Alcaraz’s group is open to any outcome. Zverev, recent champion of the Paris-Bercy Masters 1,000, is the best placed to make the pass as he has a total of victories, but not even he is assured of classification. It will depend on what he does against Alcaraz and also what happens in the other game, the one between Andrey Rublev and Casper Ruud.
Only the first two get a ticket to the semifinals and the classification criteria are very clear: the most decisive is the number of victories, and from there, if there is a tie between two tennis players, direct confrontations come into play. However, if three tennis players are tied, the classification values the percentage of sets won first and the percentage of games won last.
Everyone has options
After two days of disputed Zverev is the group leader with two victories (4-0 in sets and 25-17 in games). Behind Ruud and Alcaraz they are tied in victories and sets won, although the Norwegian is ahead due to his best percentage of games (53.66% against 46.34%). Rublev is the one who has the least options with two defeats in two games.
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He beats Zverev and Rublev does the same with Ruud. The Spanish would thus be first in the group.
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He beats Zverev in two sets and Rudd beats Rublev in three, Alcaraz would qualify alongside Zverev and first place would be determined by the percentage of games.
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Alcaraz beats Zverev in two or three sets and Rudd does the same against Rublev, the three would be tied and the percentage of games would decide.
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Alcaraz loses in three sets to Zverev, but Rublev beats Ruud in two sets, Alcaraz could advance as second, since his set percentage would be higher than Ruud’s.
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Loses in two sets against Zverev and Rublev defeats Ruud, there would be a triple tie for second place and the ticket would be decided by the percentage of games.
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He loses to Zverev and Ruud beats Rublev.
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He loses to Zverev in two sets and Rublev beats Ruud in three, which would give the Norwegian the pass for his best percentage in sets.
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He beats Zverev in three sets and Ruud beats Rublev in two. Once again the Murcian would have a worse percentage of sets.
If this Friday’s game in Alcaraz, in the process of recovery after his health problems, will already have a high dose of emotion, we will have to follow the day with the calculator in hand to know the final configuration of the semifinals.
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