Almost never before in the recent history of the United States, the two presidential candidates, the current Democratic president Joe Biden and the former Republican president Donald Trump, had aroused so much rejection among voters, that a significant part will vote for “the lesser evil” and They continue to increase the list of undecided people.
According to a survey published this Wednesday by The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), a majority of voters believe that None of the candidates have the mental capacity or form to be president.
In the case of Trump (77 years old), 48% believe that he can perform at the mental level required, while only 28% think the same about Biden (81 years old).
The same poll reveals that 59% have an unfavorable opinion of Bidencompared to Trump's 52%.
According to the average of surveys carried out by the specialized portal FiveThirtyEight with data since 1980, The unfavorable opinion towards the candidates of this electoral year is only comparable to that of 2016, when Democrat Hillary Clinton faced Trump.
This year, Biden accumulates 15 points of negative sentiment over the positive assessment in the average of the polls, while the difference in the case of Trump is 10 points of more unfavorable opinions than favorable ones.
However, Trump seems to operate in his comfort zone because, in addition to being a president (2017-2021) who did not exceed 50% popularity in the Gallup polls (something that Biden has not achieved either) and having polarized Americans , is used to campaigning with the guaranteed rejection of a large part of the American electorate.
Some polling houses, aware of the discontent that American voters will experience this year, also measure how strongly Americans oppose the candidates.
According to YouGov's late March survey, 48% of those who reject Trump do so “strongly,” while in the case of Biden the percentage is 45 percent.
Knowing the number of “haters” or detractors of the candidates is key to knowing to what extent they will be able to convince the undecided, something that will decide who will be the president of the United States until 2029.
Trump advantage in swing states
According to this Wednesday's WSJ survey, Trump has an advantage in six of seven states considered key to winning in the electoral college system with which the head of the Executive in the United States is elected, so if these percentages were maintained he would be president for the second time.
Trump surpasses Biden in voting intention in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, has a lead within the margin of error in Georgia and is technically tied in Wisconsin.
“No. He is not losing. He is recovering or tied. When people start to focus (on the elections) and see the two options, it is obvious that Joe will win this election,” said the first lady, Jill Biden, on the program CBS morning.
The great drag on Biden's popularity, according to the conservative WSJ poll, is immigration and the economy, two issues on which Trump, who has promised mass deportations and virtually shutting down trade with China with 60% tariffs, appears to be better positioned.
Some of the key states in which Biden cannot overcome have shown their rejection of the president in the primary process, with a percentage of Democrats showing dissatisfaction with their natural candidate at 13% in Michigan or 8% this Tuesday in Wisconsin .
The rejection of US support for Israel in the offensive on Gaza has also played a key role in the weakness shown by Biden in this electoral year, which experts consider will be decided by the votes of the undecided.
If Biden were to lose in November, he would be the first president to fail to win re-election with the economy growing and moving away from recession.
EFE
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