The World Cup Superbike he will have his final moment in Indonesia, on the Mandalika circuit, and everything suggests that it will be Toprak Razgtlioglu to win the title. The Turk said he didn’t want to make any calculations, and for his part Jonathan Rea will never give up as long as the math keeps him competitive “alive”, but it is clear that the Yamaha rider has a colossal match-point in the last round, being able to manage 30 points of advantage on the 62 available.
What does Razgatlioglu need to win the championship? 32 points, In short. Because if the Turkish also came to equal points with Rea, the Briton could not win the championship: the first criterion in the event of a tie is in fact the number of races won (excluding the Superpole Race from the count), and in this ranking Toprak is unattainable, having 11 wins against the 5 of his rival of Kawasaki. Razgatlioglu could win the championship, even if Rea were to do en-plein, with two third places in the long races, also being able to afford a retirement in the Superpole Race.
Clearly, Kenan Sofuoglu’s protégé could need far fewer points to win his first championship among the production derivatives. This is because Rea may not win all of Mandalika’s races. So Toprak could uncork the champagne already in Race-1, if he manages to increase the advantage over Rea by at least seven points: among the most probable combinations, a victory and a simultaneous third place for the British, or with a second place as long as the Northern Irishman does not go to the podium. Vice versa, Rea, in order to hope to be in the race on Sunday, will have to get at least a second place in Race-1.
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