“The introduction of the Green Pass in Italy pushes people to get vaccinated, it works and convinces undecided and opposed“. This in a nutshell the refrain repeated on unified TV channels and in the newspapers. But what does the data really say? Is this the reality of the facts or are we, as often happened during the pandemic, only in a pro-government narrative?
We have acquired the graph with the official numbers of all anti Covid vaccinations in Italy, first doses, second and single doses, and we have crossed it with the dates of the approval of the various Green Pass decrees and their entry into force in the country.
It is noted that vaccination in Italy is growing steadily at least until June 17, 2021, date of approval of the Government Dpcm announcing the compulsory Green Pass for bars, restaurants, museums, weddings and the like. It is the so-called first Green Pass. From that date it gradually begins to slow down the growth of vaccine inoculations, istarted on February 9 of the same year that proceeded without drops. More precisely, after June 17, a sudden collapse of the first inoculated doses is visible, which then slowly begin to increase again but the second doses decrease, remaining, if compared to the advance until June 17, both remain under a significant threshold.
On 7 August, the date of entry into force of the decree on the first Green Pass, the reduction is more than evident on the graph, for both the first and second doses. Italy passed the 50% threshold of vaccinated people around mid-July.
Vaccination is even lower on 21 September, the date of Law Decree No. 127, “Urgent measures to ensure the safe performance of public and private work by extending the scope of application of the COVID-19 green certification and strengthening the system screening “, which associates the Green Pass with work: without the green certificate, large swathes of Italians cannot work. It is the so-called super Green Pass. The collapse is evident on October 15th, date of entry into force of the provision which is anticipated and followed by the triggering, in many cities, of increasingly lively protests.
It could be physiological: the decline of vaccination it coincides with the reaching of a certain threshold and then tends to decrease, that is, it is normal that with the passing of the months the share of those who get vaccinated is less and less. But from the table it is also evident that the Green Passes are not used to vaccinate more, and the progressive decrease coincides with them. Almost as if millions of Italians are not vaccinated, they are refractory to impositions, and considering that large sections of the population have accepted the vaccination in order to still be able to go to work. In fact, however, the Green Pass does not work, creating moreover increasingly bitter social conflicts in the country: it has not served to encourage the mass vaccination of which the government and media talk so much.
According to the government report of Prime Minister Mario Draghi, on October 15 they would have completed the vaccination 81% of Italians aged 12 and over. Instead, without any dose there would be around 8 million inhabitants (7,958,368 people of vaccinable age).
About 46 million people have received at least one dose of the vaccine, a number equal to 85.26% of the vaccinable audience.
However, it should be remembered that the mandatory nature of the green certification it is different from the requirement of vaccination. Those who are vaccinated with anti Covid serums recognized in Italy are entitled to the Green Pass. If a person is not vaccinated for any reason, he can obtain a Green Pass by taking a swab in the accredited centers (it is valid for 48 hours and has a standard cost of 15 euros per swab) or if the person has recently been treated by Covid and is able to try it. .
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