No suitable candidates in sight? A campaign expert waddles off Armin Laschet after his flood appearances – and advises the Greens to change.
Munich / Berlin – The starting point is clear. Annalena Baerbock for the Greens competes with CDU Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet for the Union. This is the duel for the successor to Chancellor Angela Merkel (CDU) before the federal election in 2021. To put it in sports jargon, after all, the 2021 Olympics have started in Tokyo.
In Germany, however, the flood disaster in the Eifel is still the hot topic. The traumatic event is likely to have a significant impact on the outcome of the election. At least that’s what campaign expert Frank Stauss predicts. He is sometimes tough with both Annalena Baerbock and Armin Laschet.
“Let’s put it this way: This flood, this environmental catastrophe, of which no one doubts that it has anything to do with climate change, is of course a massive intervention in this election campaign,” said Stauss der world: “By then the election was basically over. The CDU would become the strongest party, and Armin Laschet can choose with whom to govern. “
Chancellor candidates: Rüffel for Annalena Baerbock (Greens) and Armin Laschet (CDU)
Stauss is familiar with election campaigns. In the past two decades, the graduate political scientist has worked on numerous campaigns by well-known politicians: for example, the one of Berlin’s former Governing Mayor Klaus Wowereit (SPD) or the campaign of former Prime Minister Kurt Beck (SPD, Rhineland-Palatinate); The native of Baden also participated in the applications of the current SPD chancellor candidate Olaf Scholz and the former SPD Federal Chancellor Gerhard Schröder.
Armin Laschet is always good for a mistake.
“Now we will see – not immediately, but in two or three weeks – how much people are concerned with the topic of floods and climate change. That will make the Greens stronger again. Especially if they manage to use this event to realign their campaign “, Stauss continues:” Figuratively speaking: The Greens have been awarded a penalty and Armin Laschet is in the gate. “
Chancellor candidate: Expert advises Greens to swap Annalena Baerbock for Robert Habeck
But: Stauss doesn’t necessarily see Baerbock as a penalty taker. But the co-chair of your party, Robert Habeck. He even advises the Greens to change the candidate for chancellor. Just before the penalty shoot-out, to stick with the imagery. “If they wanted, the Greens could develop a momentum from this situation that would make them the strongest party in the federal elections. The prerequisite, however, would be that Annalena Baerbock withdraws and Robert Habeck leaves the candidacy, ”says the communications expert world. He says: “This is a unique historical opportunity for the Greens.”
In his opinion, however, only with Habeck. Because: The expert attests to Baerbock a “completely unsuccessful start to their election campaign, and this impression cannot be revised until the election. At the same time, neither Olaf Scholz nor Armin Laschet are able to inspire people for themselves and develop momentum, “he says and says:” Habeck could do that. He would have the opportunity to pocket the penalty. ” He doesn’t think Union is a good candidate for chancellor. Laschet is “always good for a mistake. Everyone who knows him knows that. Armin Laschet is not a natural talent when it comes to public appearances. For him it will be important that such a mistake not be repeated ”.
Survey of the 2021 federal election: CDU chancellor candidate Armin Laschet does not come off well
But is Stauss alone with his skepticism towards the candidate for chancellor? And with the thesis that the flood disaster will have a major impact on the federal election? Obviously not. An example: Only 26 percent of Germans attribute crisis competence to Armin Laschet in the event of natural disasters, as the survey institute does Civey for the mirror determined. Politics writer Tim Kummert wrote for t-onlinethat the CDU hardly has any climate experts in top positions. Kummert, too, said not very charmingly: “That is why the task of transforming the Union into a climate crisis party is primarily focused on the candidate for chancellor. He should fix it, even if it is not yet quite clear how. ”
In the video: Federal election 2021 – CDU man Friedrich Merz hands out against Annalena Baerbock
Another example of Laschet’s difficult position: According to a survey by the RTL / ntvTrend barometers Laschet and the Union recently lost two percentage points with a view to the federal election in 2021* in the favor of the voters – they would now be 28 percent of the vote. “In addition, she is not known for constantly advertising Mr. Laschet.” And the political scientist Ursula Münch from the University of the Federal Armed Forces is also critical of the selection.
“Armin Laschet is the CDU and CSU candidate for chancellor. But it is undeniable that Markus Söder is someone who would have benefited the Union in the election campaign. He produces good pictures, speaks clearly and makes the right announcements, ”explained Münch in an interview with the time. Laschet, on the other hand, is “overwhelmed by securing jobs in the coal industry and at the same time implementing climate protection”. The fact is: Baerbock and Laschet go to penalties. Exit open. (pm) *wa.de is an offer from IPPEN.MEDIA.