Three years and three months after assuming power, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador continues to lead the opposition in our country, since it seems that he intends to equate the scandal of his son’s gray house with the white house of Peña Nieto did not have the impact that was predicted. Once this episode is over, the president’s popularity remains around 66%, which if anything caused him to drop 2% compared to December of last year, which is far from what his opponents expected.
This situation has begun to generate great nervousness in the opposition groups to the president, who see that the polls could be giving a wrong reading regarding the elections that will take place this year in six entities of the republic. Even assessing the scenario for 2024, the chances of Morena retaining presidential power remain firm, even with the internal divisions that the imposition of Claudia Sheinbaum as his standard-bearer may leave in Morena.
A few days ago, in one of his columns, the writer, journalist and political analyst Héctor Aguilar Camín presented a series of arguments by which, in his opinion, he assures that Morena will lose the next presidential election. Valid arguments undoubtedly support a large part of the considerations that the analyst uses to formulate this prediction (absence of AMLO on the ballots, internal division in Morena, the ghost of a new naximate, electoral results of 2021 in Mexico City , etc.); however, I believe that above them is the inertia that still maintains AMLO’s popularity, which as long as it remains unscathed will be a drag factor that will continue to dominate the political-electoral scenario.
And it is that although it is indisputable that of the morenista candidates for the presidential chair, none or none have enough popularity to win the election by themselves, nor is there any profile in the opposition that can neutralize the animosity and rejection social rights that the traditional political parties have won, especially the PRI and the PAN, which are the ones who have already governed us.
The strategies that the opposition political parties have followed to date have not yielded any political gains, since instead of having renewed their structures and reoriented their methods to champion social demands, they have been wasting valuable time trying to neutralize with declarations and media scandals the image of the president, who has known how to take advantage of these attacks to victimize himself and distract public opinion from the mistakes that have been made during his administration. On the other hand, the opposition political parties have also not been able to unite internally due to the lack of true democratization in their internal processes, which has led to a disbandment of militants who deludedly believed that as a result of the defeat in 2018, they could for order to come a generational change in his political class and open the exit door to those elites or groups of power that for years have dominated the political scene.
It is painful to hear talk of partisan refoundation and ideological reorientation in the voice of those who have always had partisan structures kidnapped, which they have always used for group benefits, maintaining and inheriting positions of power, which lineage or political ancestry with which they have marginalized the rights of their militancy.
Thus, with these erroneous strategies and the persistence of their internal vices, it is the same political opposition in Mexico who are ensuring that Morena retains presidential power in 2024.
THE PRI ORPHAN OF A TRUE POLITICAL IDEOLOGUE.- While at the national level this political institute (now as opposition) is kidnapped by a directive, whose dark background of its leader deprives it of any possibility of being able to reposition itself electorally to seek to be competitive in this new political scenario; In Sinaloa we saw with great regret the departure of an emerging politician and prestigious professor, who had come to give new life to this activity, demonstrating that it is possible to do politics with intelligence and without losing those principles that have always characterized him as a human being: humility , integrity, honesty and dedication to service… May my dear friend Sergio Jacobo Gutiérrez rest in peace.
#Morena #retain #power