Ukraine, Biden: “We risk the third world war”. Phone call with Putin
“If we started shooting with the Russians, it would be a world war“With these words, as the Head of the White House points out in the Manifesto, Joe Biden, has brought back to Europe the prospect of a military confrontation between great powers. The US has dramatically sounded the alarm over Ukraine, warning that a Russian invasion could begin in a few days, and asked US citizens to leave within 48 hours. But this time the risk seems real. An attack by the more than 100,000 Russian soldiers, currently stationed near Ukraine, “it could happen overnight “, Jake Sullivan, a White House national security adviser in Washington, told reporters.
Dismissing speculation that the Kremlin would never trigger the crisis while the Beijing Olympics are still underway, Sullivan said that such an attack “could occur” before the end of the Games, scheduled for February 20. The scenario of an impending attack is “a very, very distinct possibility,” Sullivan said. Today Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin will hear from each other at American requeston the phone in what really looks like a last resort to avoid conflict.
Ukraine, the early thaw of the mud changes Putin’s plans
Also because, as Repubblica points out, the early thawing of the sludge could prevent a longer wait. Repubblica writes: “Incredible images have been appearing on social media since yesterday: Russian tanks and trucks imprisoned in the mud, gripped by a mud so deep and sticky as to prevent any movement. It is an eventuality that had not been foreseen. And that according to analysts of the Pentagon could push the Kremlin to burn the times, ordering an attack within a few hours. Before the early spring paralyzes the great army of Moscow “.
Sullivan made it clear that the United States is preparing for the worst, including a “swift assault” on the capital Kiev. “If a Russian attack on Ukraine proceeds, it is likely to start with aerial bombardments and missile strikes that could obviously kill civilians,” she said.
Ukraine, Moscow’s alternative: “Limited action to recognize Donetsk and Lugansk”
However, there is an alternative, which obviously hides strong pitfalls. As the Manifesto explains, “on Tuesday the Duma Committee on the Affairs of the Commonwealth of Independent States should examine a proposal by the Communists which provides for the recognition of Donetsk and Lugansk“. And at that point,” yesand the goal is to defend the citizens of Donetsk and Lugansk from a Ukrainian attack, then it is reasonable to think that the vote in the Duma will eventually arrive after the entry of the Russian armed forces on the territory of the two rebel regions. A part of the 130,000 men today a few hundred kilometers away, beyond a border that has in fact no longer existed for years, would quickly reach the front line. It would not be the large-scale invasion anticipated by US intelligence, but it would provide the Kiev government with sufficient reason to proceed with an offensive. ”
To understand the reactions of Washington and the West, which in the case seem to be oriented towards sanctions rather than a military response alongside Ukraine in the event of limited action. The US military deployed in recent days on the eastern flank of NATO “will not fight against Russia in Ukraine but will defend NATO territory”, Sullivan admitted. Maybe an encrypted message.
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