“China is absorbing Russia’s Far East and Siberia. Putin understands this, the Americans know it and fear it very much. This is why the US is not giving us the weapons we need now and does not allow Ukraine to defeat. openly Moscow. Russia must be exhausted, no one should destroy it completely; discontent must be fueled so that the transfer of power takes place more smoothly. However, there is one aspect that no one has yet come to terms with: it concerns the spirit some Ukrainians, who hold their own, are ready to fight and do it to the end “. He talks about it with Adnkronos Oleg Buryak, head of the military administration of the district of Zaporizhia, also known for the kidnapping of his sixteen-year-old son, a prisoner of the Russians for over two months, who, looking at the war, adds: “I foresee a freezing of the conflict from September in March 2023. Then the war will resume and could last for a long time, at least another 3 years “.
The head of the military administration of Zaporizhia invites us to look at the facts: “More than 100 days have passed since the outbreak of the war. What weapons have arrived in Ukraine? To date we have received weapons that strike at 40 maximum 70 km away, useful for hit the artillery and the trench lines. But to win we should be able to hit the rear where the military and command vehicles are concentrated, we therefore need weapons with a range of 100-200 km, essential to advance and recover the territories Well, they do not hand them over to us because they do not allow us to defeat Russia openly. If Putin were defeated – Buryak observes – the elites would oust him, with the risk of a revolution and a shattering of the Federation in many small republics beyond all control. Who would control at that point the weapons set-up, including nuclear ones, which, among other things, would spill over onto the black market? This scenario could lead to a catastrophe . And a risk that exists in practice. This is why the US is moving with caution “.
According to Buryak, the Kremlin is working on a road map to incorporate in the Russian territory, also through the referendum instrument, the areas of Donbass, Luhansk, Mykolaiv, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Mariupol, Odessa … “Moscow is developing various models for legalize the temporary annexation of the occupied territories and those it aspires to occupy and is testing the reactions of countries like China, India, Brazil or neutral countries like Turkey, which in Crimea has an interest in the presence of the Tatars. I predict that the Kremlin may wish to entrust the role of president of the occupied territories to Viktor Yanukovich (former president of Ukraine – ed); who could call this creation the State of Ukraine; who may then want to insert it into a Union of States which will also include Russia and Belarus, so as to justify any further future steps of annexation of free Ukraine “, speculates the head of the military administration of the district of Zaporizhia who observes rva: “It would be a revival of the USSR, of the Empire, an imperial Soviet Union of the Slavic peoples and of the Orthodox religion up to the Urals, managed by a younger leadership of which Putin would be the head. It is clear to Putin that the Chinese empire could develop beyond the Urals; and that through a new form of Union of the Slavic peoples, he could have recognized a full and not marginal role among the great powers, which he did not succeed with the G7 “.
And in the meantime, what will happen to the war? “For what I see it will freeze – the Chief of Zaporizhia replies to Adnkronos – I see no end. THE
Let’s imagine that the active phase ends in September and that the situation calms down. To be able to advance further we will need artillery, tanks, planes and rocket launchers. And the military will have to be trained in the use of this equipment. So in an ideal hypothetical scenario, the army will return to fight in March 2023 and the advance will not end until September 2023. In the event of a force majeure situation, the war could continue for at least another two or three years thereafter. . We recall that Russia began in 2014, but the active phase broke out in 2022 “. What do you fear for Zaporizhia in the meantime? “We fear the broken rear bank, not the occupation. We are collecting few taxes, business activities are moving west of Ukraine, the middle class is leaving. But in the event of a Russian advance, we are ready to react and we are very well prepared. A triangle has been created between Dnipropetrovsk, Kryvyi Rih and Zaporizhia. The territory is vast, the cities are well fortified and there is no longer the anxiety of March, when the Russians were advancing fast “. (by Roberta Lanzara)
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