After all, it is like the chronicle of a death foretold by Garcia Marquez. In this exclusive survey conducted by Proger Index Research for TPI, for the first time Brothers of Italy overrides the League. A long run-up, therefore, comes to an end and tells us many things that change the balance on the field and the balance of power consolidated up until yesterday between the parties.
Brothers of Italy, in fact, exceeds in the survey the wall of 20.5% is surpasses of one 0.5% la League of Matteo Salvini: but in every opinion poll, as is well known, the trend counts, and therefore the theme is not just a zero point more (or less) but the fact that a force that was only 4.4% in politics, has reached another that – only at the previous European Championships – was still 34.% of the real votes.
As is well known, this data changes something both for the right, for the left, and for the government. For the internal rule of the center-right, in fact, the first place determines the leadership of an entire coalition.
And therefore – if these consents were confirmed in the political elections – Giorgia Meloni would be the new leader of the center-right. This was not only taken for granted, but not even predictable when the Draghi government was born. It was said and written – then – that the solitary opposition move would have isolated Brothers of Italy, and that the famous “productive classes of the North” would have rewarded the government strategy of Matteo Salvini, returning the fork between the two parties in favor of the Northern League.
IS happened – instead – exactly the opposite. The space of the opposition has expanded, has increased the strength of the most radical right-wing formation (and – on the left – has even produced the override of the Italian Left on Article One). And now, this data risks heavily influencing Salvini’s strategies, which needs media and political initiatives to try to defend his leadership.
Count vs Grillo.
Even on the left, however, Index’s survey reveals a sensational fact: even the hypothesis of a list by Giuseppe Conte, without the interested party having even announced it, collects one hard core of 10% of the votes. The possible list of the former premier is close to 10% e empty the M5s, leaving it at 7%.
This right in the week in which Beppe Grillo and Giuseppe Conte dueled for leadership and in the days in which the tug-of-war within the Movement explodes on the matter of the prescription.
The Conte list – according to this survey – could almost take away two points also to the Pd. The center-right – if we also count 1% of change – is around 48%, the center-left (adding all the minors is 46%).
Matteo Renzi, despite the political offensive on the Bill, Zan remains at the stake, with 1.9%. Too little for those who wanted to “do to the Democratic Party what Macron did to the Socialists”. The game of the Quirinale will be the last major political event of the legislature, and will leave on the field – once again – winners and losers.
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