Former coach was the winner in the region in the 1st round; find out the number of votes per area of the city and the challenges facing the Psol candidate, who is behind in the polls
A possible victory for the deputy Guilherme Boulos (Psol) in the 2nd round in São Paulo depends on achievements in the east and south zones, regions historically linked to the left.
In the 1st round, the current mayor Ricardo Nunes (MDB) won in 9,533 electoral stations, while the psolista won in 9,488. Pablo Marçal won in 8,186, with more than half (4,545) in the east zone.
DISTRIBUTION BY REGION
- east side – more than 2.3 million voted, the highest number in the city. Whoever won in this region was Pablo Marcalwith 644 thousand votes, 52,000 more than Boulos, who finished almost tied with Nunes;
- south zone – the region that is home to “Tattolândia” (territory with great influence of the Tatto family, PT politicians) gave victory to Nunes. Neither Marta Suplicy (once very well voted there) not even the Tatto clan politicians transferred enough votes to Boulos. The deputy was slightly behind Nunes. Marçal had 520 thousand votes;
- north zone – the 3rd region with the most voters in the city gave Nunes an advantage of 56,000 votes;
- west and center zones – Boulos had victory in the two smallest regions of the city.
As shown by the Power360having the former PT mayor as vice-president did not help Boulos in the south zone, where historically Marta Suplicy had an advantage in the electorate.
Boulos’s 5 works
The Psol candidate has a herculean task ahead of him. The size of the challenge becomes clear when projecting the latest Datafolha survey on the size of the electorate that turned out in the 1st round. Nunes’ 22 point advantage would today be equivalent to a lead of 1.5 million votes for the Emedebista. It’s a lot.
Here are 5 obstacles that Lula’s ally would have to overcome, at the same time, to overtake the current mayor:
- 1) Marcal – there is no way to escape the 1.7 million votes given to the former coach in the 1st round. Boulos will have to try to inherit most of this support;
- 2) Tabata – the candidate declared her vote for the leftist, but it is uncertain whether all of her 600,000 votes will be transferred to the candidate;
- 3) abstention – the 27.34% abstention rate in the city in the 1st round is second only to the 29.29% during the pandemic. There are 2.6 million voters who stopped voting. Convincing a portion of these people to go to the polling stations in the 2nd round is as important for the candidate as it is difficult;
- 4) east zone – some of Boulos’ biggest victories were in the far east, in neighborhoods like Cidade Tiradentes. The left would have to regain the influence of the electorate in the rest of the region to inherit Marçal’s 644 thousand votes there;
- 5) south zone – part of the “Tattos” remained in an ambiguous position, with some proximity to Nunes, although formally participating in Boulos’ campaign. In Capela do Socorro, the clan’s headquarters, Nunes won by 34% to 29%. Boulos will need greater commitment from his family and better performance there to inherit most of Marçal’s 520,000 votes in the southern part of the city.
#win #Boulos #seek #votes #Marçal #east #zone