The coronavirus does not care about irregularities in the vaccination process and institutional crises. Its objective is to claim human lives and in the Region it is going like a thunderbolt in that task. The Ministry of Health announced yesterday the death of 19 people by Covid-19, the highest number in a day since the start of the pandemic. And the worst thing is that the peak has not arrived.
This high number of deaths is a consequence of the so great an impact that the third epidemic wave is having, produced by the relaxation of mobility restrictions and social interaction at Christmas. The pandemic always acts sequentially: the increase in infections is compounded, around ten days later, by an increase in hospitalizations and deaths. So, as there are more positives than ever in the Region, there will also be more deaths than ever.
A report sent to the Carlos III Health Institute warns that the third wave could leave up to 400 deaths
As an example, in the 21 days since January, 139 people have lost their lives due to the coronavirus. In the absence of nine days until February and with 1,041 admitted to hospitals, 142 of them in critical condition, the total number of victims of the first wave will probably be exceeded this weekend, the one that had Murcia locked up at home between March and May 2020. A total of 150 people died from Covid-19 during those months.
The first victim
The first death from coronavirus in the Region occurred on March 20, 2020. A 70-year-old neighbor of Jumilla died in the Yecla regional hospital. “With previous pathologies,” Health highlighted at the time, which later stopped reporting the patients’ previous health status given the evidence that SARS-CoV-2 was also primed with healthy people. The peak of deaths in one day was reached on April 5, when the death of eleven Murcians was reported.
At the end of April the de-escalation began. Then began a trickle of daily deaths (four at most). The trend stopped on May 21. Between that day and August 11, only seven deaths were recorded.
In only 21 days of the first month of the year, 139 people have lost their lives, when from March to May 2020 they did so 150
At the end of June the first state of alarm was lifted, with the reopening of mobility between municipalities and autonomous communities. Very soon, at the beginning of July, the infections began to rebound, with the regional government blaming a passenger who arrived in Spain on a plane from Bolivia and who was not subjected to any type of control at the Barajas airport. The fact is that this Covid focus, which forced Totana to confine, was never fully controlled. On August 11, the counting of lives lost resumed. From September 1 to today, there have only been four days with no deaths. The last one, on October 5, 2020.
The so-called second wave, which started in summer, took hold in mid-October, when on the 14th the barrier of 500 positives was surpassed for the first time in a single day. Deaths were growing alarmingly. There were up to 15 days in November, just half of the month, in which more than a dozen deaths were lamented in 24 hours. The most tragic day was November 4, with 16 deaths.
This second blow of the coronavirus was bowed with the closure of the hotel industry and the perimeter confinement of the Region by municipalities. Infections and hospital pressure were reduced and, therefore, daily deaths were decreasing. But the counter never ran to zero. In the week before Christmas, December 14-19, there were 36 victims. The funeral balance of the second epidemic wave, from August 11 to December 31, ends with 597 lives cut off.
However, the third epidemic wave will leave the previous ones in blankets. There are already 139 deaths in the first 21 days of January and the trend is clearly upward. The professor of Physics at the University of Murcia Antonio Guirao points out in the latest report sent to the Carlos III Health Institute in Madrid, always based on mathematical calculations that have been effective so far, that the average number of deaths in the coming weeks will be twenty people a day. Antonio Guirao fears that this tsunami that the post-Christmas wave has become could wash away between 200 and 400 people during the next month.
On the other hand, the epidemiological curve remains stagnant above a thousand cases a day. The Ministry of Health reported another 1,398 positives, a decrease compared to previous days. 9,075 tests were performed, so the positivity rate is once again above 15%.
Likewise, Spain has broken all its mortality records in this pandemic, with 1,411 deaths in one week. The country once again exceeds 40,000 infections for the third consecutive day while the accumulated incidence exceeds 800 cases, according to Melchor Sáiz-Pardo.