Brunette travels the final stretch in the definition of its candidates for the choice of this June 2nd. The selection processes have generated doubts, claims and signs for the incorporation of PRI profiles.
Specialists assure that Morena's strategy is to win at any cost, although this generates questions from the Morena base about the politicians they will have on the ballot.
investigations proceed
As agreed by the party, the candidates have been selected by polls and recently by insaculation, for the multi-member spaces. Among the figures that were selected by the party with the insaculation method for the spaces pmembers of the Senate is Marcelo Ebrard, after his internal conflicts over not having been selected as Morena's presidential candidate.
Furthermore, it is Adán Augusto López Hernández, former presidential candidate; Citlalli Hernández Mora, technical secretary of Morena; Gerardo Fernández Noroña, former presidential candidate of the PT, and the ex-panist and former governor of Chihuahua Javier Corral.
For federal deputies José Ramiro López Obrador, brother of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, came out in the raffle. However, in the list released in the early hours of February 22, his name did not appear. Others that are there are Américo Villarreal Santiago, son of the governor of Tamaulipas, Américo Villarreal, and Cuauhtémoc Blanco.
Filters
Political scientist Javier Rosiles Salas indicated that the insaculation process itself could even be described as very democratic. However, he considered that a major problem is who appears as participants in the tombola. He considered that it seems false that the method is open to all militants and any militant.
But there are filters that prevent any Morenista citizen from accessing the candidacy. To begin with, for example, for the Senate, they are only the national advisors, he said.
Regarding the process, he also analyzed that there is a lack of transparency. “I say it with great respect, it seems very strange to me, a very nice case is that of the president's brother, right? He was nominated for the Senate and he was nominated for the Chamber of Deputies, that is, we do not understand why he is running for both. And there are also other cases in which it turns out that it went to the Senate and was also drawn for deputies, that is, it seems very coincidental to me,” he criticized.
Lists
Javier Rosiles Salas considered that the party discipline that the candidates to reach Congress will have is implicit in the selection. He pointed out that it is not the first time that Brunette He decides his candidates by lottery, so he questioned whether the previous unsanctioned legislators have made any difference.
In the Senate we do have characters, that is precisely what catches my attention, that the truth is that, with all due respect, those
elected are not ordinary militants. They are not ordinary militants, but they are very well-known figures, he said.
In the case of the candidates who will be elected by popular vote and who have been announced by lists, Víctor Alarcón Olguín considered that these are decisions that are openly very concentrated, very centralized and with a denial of the most direct participation of citizens.
Although the specialist did not dismiss that in some processes the conditions of the so-called surveys were still maintained, he said that these are very imperfect mechanisms, very vertical and that they also lend themselves to a set of suspicions.
The way in which these surveys have been carried out, then, how they have been interpreted, he pointed out.
Parity
Alarcón Olguín added that the provisions established by the legislation are also fulfilled so that the candidatures cover the requirements of both the gender parity quota and the representativeness of the various social groups.
In this panorama, he considered that evidently, in some cases, regardless of the interest and participation that some candidates may have, they did not appear on the lists, complying with the factors established by law.
“Yes, there are regulations that establish the institutes or that establish the courts, which then break with the logic of a candidate, because a mandate of position or a mandate of place that must be occupied or in which a type of position must be assigned specific candidacy profile, then automatically leaves out many other actors who perhaps bring social work,” he explained.
Win win
For his part, Javier Santiago Castillo, expert in electoral processesadded that it is evident that there are disagreements in the bases of Brunette because of the way the surveys are carried out. “What the Morena leadership is doing is looking, from their perspective, for the profiles that they believe will provide them with the greatest number of votes, but I believe that there are many examples in the country's electoral history that show that someone is not necessarily a public figure, be she a sportswoman, be she a singer, be she an actress, guarantees obtaining a victory,” he launched.
What is a fact, according to the expert, is that this strategy is to win at any cost.
That strategy of the famous Plan C, of obtaining a qualified majority in the chambers, although it seems to me that arithmetic does not work, he explained.
In this regard, he explained that at least in the Senate It is very clear that to have a qualified majority, 86 senators are required and in the country 64 are elected with a relative majority.
Strategy
Morena and its allies would have to win all of them, but also obtain in the vote for the Senate of the Republic above 65 percent of the votes and that is a scenario that is really very, very far away, he pointed out.
In this regard, Javier Santiago Castillo analyzed that to try to overcome this obstacle, the Morena, PT and Green Party alliance does not go in coalition for the Senate candidates.
For his part, Víctor Alarcón Olguín, also an academic at the UAM, considered that the PRI members incorporated into Morena in several local candidates do not arrive empty-handed.
He pointed out that it can be defined by economic terms of the candidate and his structure, votes, organizations that are behind those candidatures and what they can offer.
PRIISTS
“But, consequently, also the candidates who ended up being displaced and if there is not enough political operation to be able to rearrange them in other spaces or within other conditions, it ends up being the opposite process. The condition of so-called friendly fire is being created in many of these structures,” he warned.
Regarding this rupture between Morena's base and the structures due to not achieving candidacies or those spaces being occupied by PRI members, electoral process specialist Javier Santiago Castillo also indicated that the question is where these leaderships go.
Morenoist base
Where would they go? Would they go to the PRI, PAN, PRD alliance? I find it difficult… in some cases, they might decide to go with Movimiento Ciudadano, if they are offered the candidacies, but, in addition, Movimiento Ciudadano is offering you candidacies, in short, right? There are cheap candidates in the Citizen Movement, he criticized.
In this context, he believed that the dissidents of Brunette They have very few possibilities outside that party, because the political scene is very polarized, if they go with the PRI, PAN, PRD alliance, they are going to be accused of traitors and that is a stigma that will not help them get votes because it is not just about the dissident group. It is about this dissident group having electoral sympathy.
- Haven't you checked out Amazon? Look in THIS LINK your best products
#criticize #methods #profiles #selection #Morena #candidates
