However, US President Joe Biden’s statements raised indications of a potential conflict expansion with Moscow, and he said in an interview with NBC: “American citizens should leave now.”
“We’re dealing with one of the largest armies in the world. It’s a very different situation, and things can get crazy fast.”
The US president also warned that US forces would not be able to evacuate their fleeing citizens from Ukrainian territory if Russia began an invasion.
Biden stressed that it would be “a world war when the Americans and the Russians start shooting at each other. We are in a very different world” than it was before.
Speaking to “Sky News Arabia”, the American academic at the University of Florida, Eric Loeb, explains that despite Biden’s statements, the United States will avoid war with Russia due to the expected results, which will not in any way be in the interest of American society and its policies, specifically with the experiences of war. The precedent that has exhausted various sectors within the United States, as is the case with the consequences of the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan.
According to the American academic, the United States may be reticent or reluctant to confront emerging powers such as Russia directly, as we have seen in its political and field dealing with the situation in Syria, and it is likely that the United States will continue to provide military support to Ukraine, and try to show a united front with its European allies against Moscow in NATO as well as in other international institutions.
Agrees with the same opinion, an expert at the Center for Near East Studies, David de Roche, who asserts that Biden does not want a military conflict with Russia, given that Russia’s demands seem impossible to implement.
In his interview with Sky News Arabia, de Roche notes that Putin views NATO as an organization controlled by Washington, and believes that if he convinces Biden that NATO should not send troops to Lithuania, for example, NATO will withdraw from it.
And he added, “What Biden said is that if Russia invades Ukraine, it will be completely isolated from the Western financial system. Economic sanctions are an effective and effective strategic weapon.”
With regard to the weapons expected to be used in the event of a war between Moscow and Washington, de Roche says, “Conventional weapons will not be the focus of the war alone, but missiles and military strikes will be directed in conjunction with electronic warfare, which will be allocated from air defense radar sites and wireless communication networks.
And he continues, “Russian electronic warfare is also Russia’s main advantage (apart from its massive military bloc).”
Speaking to “Sky News Arabia”, the former international observer to the United Nations, Kamal Al-Zogoul, explains that Biden’s statements came after an investigation by the US military, last Tuesday, about the withdrawal from Afghanistan last year, which was raised by the “Washington Post” newspaper after a newspaper investigation that included 2,000 pages of interviews. Pointing out that he found in the report that the White House and the State Department were late in responding to the Taliban’s rapid advance to seize Kabul, which put pressure on Biden to make such a statement about Ukraine in order to avoid the previous mistake in Afghanistan.
According to Al-Zogoul, the other reason behind this remarkable statement is that the US administration did not find any soft response from Russia, especially after Macron’s meeting with Putin and the British Foreign Minister’s meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov, in addition to the use of six amphibious ships near the Ukrainian shores.
And he added, “There are firmnesses from the Biden administration that derive from history, and a mistake cannot be made in 2014 when Russia occupied the Crimea because Washington knows how heavy Russia’s loss in the event of war.”
Biden’s statement came to avoid what he called a “global war”, as the former international observer to the United Nations explains, and this gives an indication that America will not engage its army inside Ukraine, but will continue to provide logistical support to the Ukrainian army and other countries on this side.
On the one hand, on the other hand, it was clear from the statements that the Russians are ready to invade, and if the war occurred, it would be inside Ukraine and its shores, support for the rebels in the Donbas region, and the civilian losses would be heavy. According to Zghul.
Zaghloul concludes that there is still an atmosphere for diplomatic solutions around Ukraine, and no one can predict war as long as Moscow is waiting for a diplomatic pilgrimage to it, and the expected loss for both sides, Ukraine and Russia, will be very heavy, and Biden’s statement is purely precautionary and has a resolution to not compromise interests in exchange for the Russian non-relaxation in the case. .
In addition, US political analyst Michael Morgan says that the US president’s warning about war this time is a stern warning against Russia and Putin, especially after Russia’s insistence on massing soldiers and weapons on Ukraine’s borders.
A while ago, the US President’s tone rose in warning Putin of an invasion of Ukraine, which has become a reality that is expected to happen in the next few period and has necessitated the threat of severe economic sanctions against Russia.
In his interview with “Sky News Arabia”, Morgan believes that the expression of total global war that Biden stated does not mean a war in the known sense, but “from my point of view, it means that it will be a major war that may develop into something, which made White House spokeswoman Jen Psaki come out.” On several television screens to clarify and amend this statement.