Who will rule in North Rhine-Westphalia soon? A new state parliament will be elected on May 15 – and a neck-and-neck race is emerging.
Berlin – Around three months before the state elections in North Rhine-Westphalia, according to an Insa survey, a tight race between the CDU and SPD is emerging.
In the NRW Sunday trend of the Insa institute for the “Bild am Sonntag”, the SPD comes to 29 percent, which puts it two points ahead of the currently governing CDU with 27 percent. The Greens reach 14 percent in the survey. The FDP is 12 percent and the AfD 8 percent. The left would not be represented in the state parliament with 4 percent. The other parties could unite 6 percent of the votes, as the newspaper announced.
The current government coalition of CDU and FDP would thus come to 39 percent and red-green to 43 percent. According to these figures, a majority in the state parliament would have a traffic light alliance of SPD, Greens and FDP, a Jamaica coalition of CDU, Greens and FDP or a government of SPD and CDU. The state election is on May 15th. A black-yellow coalition has governed North Rhine-Westphalia since 2017.
Waste in polls ahead
If a direct election of the prime minister were possible, 28 percent of those surveyed would vote for incumbent Hendrik Wüst (CDU) and 24 percent for his challenger Thomas Kutschaty from the SPD. 35 percent said they would vote for neither.
Election polls are generally always subject to uncertainties. Among other things, declining party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it difficult for the opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. In principle, surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not a forecast of the outcome of the election. dpa
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