The week begins as the previous one and also the previous one ended: with anticyclonic weather, zero water and very high temperatures for January, more typical of April and May. But the State Meteorological Agency (Aemet) expects that, starting Wednesday, there will be “an episode of intense wind and widespread rainfall.” According to Aemet spokesperson, Cayetano Torres, the cause of this change in weather is that the anticyclone “located over Algeria and affecting the entire Peninsula, the Balearic Islands and the Canary Islands, is going to move south, which will make way for the entry of Atlantic fronts from the northwest.” Thus, the first rains will appear on Wednesday in Galicia and surrounding provinces, to spread on Thursday throughout the entire Peninsula, except for the Mediterranean area. On Friday they will be widespread and will reach the Balearic Islands. The maximum temperatures will decrease on Thursday and Friday as the front advances and the minimum temperatures will also decrease on the weekend, which will normalize the thermometers and snow will fall in the main mountain systems. This good news will continue, as Aemet aims for this February It will be a humid or very humid month in the western half of the peninsula. What will not change will be the heat. “Positive thermal anomalies are going to be a constant throughout February,” summarizes Torres.
This Monday the anticyclonic weather will still continue in the Peninsula and the Balearic Islands, although the approach of a dana (acronym for isolated depression at high levels, a pocket of air in high layers of the atmosphere) will increase medium and high cloudiness. “Morning mists and fogs are expected in Galicia, the Cantabrian Sea, the Northern Plateau, Ebro, depressions in the northeast, the Balearic Islands, the Strait area and the Alborán, which will be locally persistent in the Northern Plateau and the Ebro basin,” notes the spokesman. In the Canary Islands, intervals of medium and high clouds, and more haze. Temperatures “will not experience major changes, with frost in the Pyrenees and in the south of the Iberian system.”
On Tuesday, the dana “will cross the Peninsula from west to east”, leaving abundant medium and high clouds and “weak precipitation in the west of Galicia, as well as some weak and isolated showers in the afternoon in the Cantabrian mountain range.” The maximums “will tend to rise in the southern half of the Mediterranean coast and fall in the rest of the eastern half of the peninsula.” There will be frost in northern mountain areas, especially in the Pyrenees, and few changes in the Canary Islands.
The change will occur from Wednesday afternoon, when “a storm with its associated fronts will approach, which will cross the Peninsula and the Balearic Islands during the following days, giving rise to an episode of intense wind and widespread rainfall.” The first front will leave cloudy skies in the extreme north and the northwest third, with rains in Galicia, locally moderate in the west and which may extend to other areas of the northwest third of the peninsula and the western Central system. In the rest of the country, “slightly cloudy skies, increasing at intervals of medium and high clouds, with morning fogs in Atlantic valleys, depressions in the northeast, the Strait and the Balearic Islands.” In the Canary Islands the haze will continue. “The maximum temperatures will rise in the Canary Islands, the Cantabrian Sea, depressions in the northeast and the coasts of the Levant, while they will fall on the Atlantic slope, with weak frosts in the mountains of the central and northern peninsulas, the northern plateau and also in the southeast,” Torres advances.
On Thursday, the front will enter the Peninsula and fill the skies with clouds. “Cloud cover will increase from west to east, leaving the Peninsula practically covered at the end of the day and with precipitation in the western half of the peninsula, the Cantabrian area and the western Pyrenees. These could be locally strong and persistent in Galicia and the west of the Central system and less likely the further east,” indicates the Aemet spokesperson, who considers it “very unlikely” that they will reach the Mediterranean area. The rains can be locally strong and persistent in Galicia, and the west of the Central system and the Cantabrian mountain range, and in the form of snow in the mountains of the northern half and the southeast. In the Canary Islands, more heat. Daytime temperatures “will decrease in the northwest and rise in the southeast and Ampurdán (Girona).” There will be frosts in the Pyrenees, although weaker than in previous days, and possibly in the Central and Iberian systems.
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On Friday, rainfall “will spread throughout Spain, but it will rain a lot in Galicia, the southwest quadrant of the peninsula and the Pyrenees, where there may be problems.” On the other hand, bad luck follows Catalonia, since the “extreme northeast is going to get very little.” These precipitations would be in the form of snow in the mountains of the northern half of the peninsula above 1,500-2,000 meters and above 2,000 in the Sierra Nevada. Although there is still a lot of uncertainty, it is expected that rainfall would persist over the weekend, but “could lose intensity and extent,” while being accompanied by a significant decrease in the snow level. Thus, on Saturday there will be “a drop in temperatures”, which will cause snow in the Cantabrian mountain range, the Pyrenees, Castilla y León and the central and Iberian systems. Sunday will be “a cold day too, with snow, especially in the most eastern areas, the mountains of León, the Central system, the Iberian system and the Baetics and the Pyrenees.”
In addition to the rain and the drop in temperatures, the third protagonist will be the wind. On Wednesday afternoon, strong intervals and very strong gusts are already expected in Galicia, which will extend on Thursday to the northwest quadrant and mountains of the northern half. “In Galicia, the Cantabrian mountain range, the upper Ebro, northern Iberia and the western Pyrenees they could exceed 90 kilometers per hour,” Aemet alerts in an information note about the storm. On Friday, the wind will “progressively lose intensity in the northern half, but very strong gusts could still be reached in Galicia and mountain areas of the northern half.” In the south of the peninsula and the Balearic Islands “the wind will pick up, with very strong gusts from the west in the Strait”, although these cannot be ruled out in the southwest, in the rest of Andalusia, the Southern Plateau and the Balearic Islands.
The rest of the month, the good news will continue for the western half of the country. According to prediction for the next two weeks, From February 12 to 18, rainfall “will be more or less normal, except in the Galician area and the west of Castilla y León, where slightly rainier weather is expected.” The models also show the week from the 19th to the 25th “somewhat wetter than normal in the western half and the southern half”, but in Catalonia “nothing, not a trace” of rain. And in the last week “more humidity is also expected throughout the western half”, but “in C
atalonia, nothing.”
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