CIS estimate – February 2025
Voting CIS estimate (in % on the total valid vote)
The Sociological Research Center (CIS) returns to the PSOE as the winner of hypothetical elections with 33.4% of the votes, according to their latest barometer. The match leading Pedro Sánchez rises two points and extends its advantage with a downward PP, in 28.1%, a point and a half less than a month ago. Vox continues to grow consolidated as a third force in 13.3% of the votes while adding again suffer a slight fall of one tenth to 6.4%.
The PP thus slows a continued rise in the barometers for several months, after the vote last month in which the decree with the rise in pensions and public transport aids lying together. The dates of the works of the February survey were carried out from January 31 to February 6, 2025. This week, Alberto Núñez Feijóo’s party took a 180 -degree turn to that decision voting in favor of the new decree that He took the government with a good part of those measures.
The PSOE thus makes the fall in the opposition to those who leave five points. The party led by Sánchez had stayed at 31.5% in January and now recovers almost two points. It is the opposite that happens to the PP, which chained several months of increases, until it became only 2.1 points of the PSOE and 29.7% of the votes. Now fall again to 28.1.
Vox continues to take advantage of the international rise of the extreme right, auged with the victory of Donald Trump and the echo of his first measures at the head of the White House. Santiago Abascal’s party is still very far from the data that placed it five years ago with 52 deputies in Congress, but recovers the bellows lost in recent months and is already in 13.3%, almost one point above the Previous barometer and a point also above the result that obtained the 23J. The Ultra Alise Pérez Salf agitator match is still down and stays in an irrelevant 1.6%.
Sumar still does not air and is practically the same as in the previous month, in a modest 6.4%, a tenth less than in January but far away from the results of the last generals, when it obtained 13.3%. Part of those votes takes them Podemos, which recovers positions and reaches 4.4%. It is a five tenth rise with respect to the previous CIS, which placed them at 3.9%. In fact, the party leading Ione Belarra obtains its best result in a CIS since it decided to separate from adding -to the exception of the European barometer.
The president of the Government, Pedro Sánchez, remains the leader most valued by citizens, according to the institute directed by José Félix Tezanos. All leaders regain popularity but remain far from the approved. The chief of the Executive remains in the lead with 4.13, followed by the second vice president, Yolanda Díaz, in 3.96. Alberto Núñez Feijóo obtains a 3.16 valuation and Santiago Abascal a 2.85.
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