POLITICAL ELECTORAL POLLS TODAY 24 JULY 2021
POLITICAL ELECTORAL POLLS TODAY – In the Italian political panorama, balance reigns: the first four parties are collected in just 3 percentage points and the first three in just one point. This is what emerges from a survey carried out by the Ixè institute.
According to the survey – carried out on 21 July 2021 on a sample of a thousand people of age – the League, the Democratic Party, the Brothers of Italy and the 5 Star Movement would now register consensus percentages of between 17 and 20%. And even Lega, Pd and FdI would all fluctuate between 19 and 20%.
In particular, the first party would be the one led by Matteo Salvini, with 19.9% of votes. In second place the dem, with 19.2%, in third the team of Giorgia Meloni, with 19%, and in fourth the M5S of the new leader Giuseppe Conte, with 17.3%.
All the other parties are widely detached, starting with Forza Italia – stopping at 8.4% – to get to Italia Viva: Matteo Renzi’s team is limping to 1.2%, according to the Ixè survey. Also noteworthy is the large front of undecided and / or abstentions, who represent more than 40% of the voters.
POLL IXÈ: THE DATA AT A GLANCE
Democratic Party: 19.2%
Brothers of Italy: 19%
5 Star Movement. 17.3%
Forza Italia: 8.4%
Italian Left: 2%
Item One: 2.7%
Italy Viva: 1.2%
Green Europe: 1.1%
other center-right: 1.2%
Undecided / abstentions: 40.8%
HOW THE POLLS ARE DONE
The electoral and political polls are carried out by opinion polling societies respecting very specific scientific criteria. The authors of the surveys must identify a sample to be interviewed that is sufficiently large and representative of the population to be analyzed. In the case of polls on voting intentions for parties or the confidence index of political leaders, therefore, the interviewees must adequately represent the Italian population of age, those who have the right to vote and who go to the polls.
This work is done to minimize the margin of error and make the detection as reliable as possible. Usually a political-electoral poll is considered reliable if the indicated margin of error is 3 percent with a 95 percent confidence interval. It is precisely that of identifying a representative sample of the population that is the greatest difficulty for pollsters. Interviews for political electoral polls are usually conducted with a Cati methodology, by telephone, or Cawi, via the Internet, or mixed. To carry out the interviews, opinion polling companies rely on specialized companies.
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