Around ten months before the federal election in 2021, the Greens have not yet decided which candidate for chancellor they will send in the race. Which of the party leaders does it – Annalena Baerbock or Robert Habeck?
Whatever the decision of the party base: According to a representative Civey survey commissioned by the Tagesspiegel, two thirds of Germans consider the Greens to be politically inexperienced to be able to appoint the Chancellor after the upcoming federal election. While around 67 percent see it that way, the Greens are only experienced enough for around 27 percent.
The Greens are doing better in the polls than they have been for a long time. If the general election were on Sunday, the party would get 20 percent of the vote according to the Politbarometer, making it the second strongest political force behind the Union (37 percent). The Greens left the SPD (16 percent) behind.
Unsurprisingly, Green voters are the group who consider their party to be experienced enough to appoint the Federal Chancellor – around 83 percent. Green boss Habeck had recently dared to take over the chancellorship. You have to “check yourself whether you believe you have the moral tools and inner peace, you have a plan for what you want,” said Habeck on ARD.
“I have this plan, and therefore the answer is: yes, I would pass this test for myself.” Many Greens, however, see his colleague Baerbock as a better candidate for Chancellor. Until the election “we do our best,” said Habeck in the ARD. “I do my best, Annalena does her best, and then we’ll see what happens to it.”
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Voters from other parties who could make it back into the Bundestag believe the Greens to be largely unsuitable for appointing the Chancellor: The verdict is still moderate among voters from the Left (50 percent) and the SPD (54 percent). Among voters of the CDU / CSU, FDP and AfD, in some cases significantly more than two out of three supporters consider the Greens to be politically inexperienced.
And there is also a clear trend in age: the younger the Germans, the more convinced they are that the Greens are politically experienced enough to be Chancellor from 2021. Among the 18 to 29 year olds there are still around 42 percent and among the 30 to 39 year olds around 35 percent who see it that way. Two-thirds of Germans over 40 do not think the Greens are experienced enough – among Germans over 65 it is even around 78 percent.
The trend in age fits: So it is mostly the students who see the Greens experienced enough to take over the chancellorship. There is no other group among employees, self-employed or pensioners in which at least a third of the respondents see it that way.
The Greens want to adopt the fourth basic program since it was founded 40 years ago at their digital federal party congress from Friday. Work on it began in spring 2018, shortly after Baerbock and Habeck had been elected to the party leadership.
Even if it is not yet about the election program and even less about the Chancellor candidate or the Greens candidate for Chancellor, the party is already starting the coming year with the federal election in autumn. The ambitious goal: take up the fight with the Union. The Union is a “pseudo giant”, Habeck told the newspapers of the Funke media group. “The high level of support for the Union is the support for the Federal Chancellor. But Ms. Merkel will not run again. “