The European stock market rises at the start of this Thursday. The main indices of the old continent reflect a positive bias that was not seen in weeks before the possibility that the Ukraine War ends Before expected. And it is that Donald Trump contacted the president of Russia, Vladimir Putin, and both would have agreed to begin negotiating the end of the war “immediately.” Thus, the IBEX 35 rises 0.2% while the Eurostoxx 50 leads the increases with a progress greater than 0.7% Thanks to Adyen, which shoots more than 13% after presenting results that beat market expectations.
The war in Ukraine is to date one of the most harmful effects that the European market has found. The Russian Invasion of Ukraine Leave winners and losers within the Variable Income while affecting the euro and the profitability of the sovereign bonds of the eurozone. Also, the raw material market received a shake. He oil price And the gas shot up as well as the price of cereal, since Ukraine was one of the world’s main cereal exporters to the outbreak of war.
He Ibex 35 accumulates a rise greater than 10% in the year and is about to write down a new milestone in 2025. The Spanish selective is located at a step of the 13,000 points which is the psychological barrier to beat now, thanks to the negotiations for peace promoted between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump For Ukraine.
Since IBEX 35 transferred its resistance of the 12,150 pointsbrake of the climbs in 2024, everything indicated that the 13,000 points would be the following objective, according to the Ecotrader analyst, Joan Cabrero. However, there may be consolidation in the short term. “The Overcompra suggests that we could see a pause in the climbs who could take the selective back at 12,400 points, “says Cabrero.
The IBEX 35 does not advance only in the old continent. Eurostoxx 50 is also close to scoring a new milestone on its own. The European selective It is located at a rise of less than 2% of its historical maximumslost in The year 2000 with the bubble.com. Meanwhile, Wall Street is stagnant between two lands, which presents a problem for the European stock exchange in the medium term by advancing whether the main reference of the variable income.
The approach of the president of the United States to the peace of Ukraine does not favor his own currency. The expectation of a less warmongering environment in Europe strengthens currencies such as the euro or the Chinese yuan that rise in recent hours. As an example, The euro is changed to $ 1,043 which moves the common currency of the dreaded parity.
On the other hand, Yuan goes up when the country as a negotiation agentaccording to it Bloomberg. However, in the case of the Asian giant’s currency the increases can stop in the short term, since the slow growth of The Chinese economy does not support a strong yuan In the currency market, especially after the United States Federal Reserve questioned more than one type cut in 2025.
Brent falls through peace negotiations
The price of oil is a good indicator of the Risk aversion and commercial tensions Global And now these prices reflect the expectation of a world without the Ukraine War. After the discount of the tension in the Middle East, Ukraine seems to be the next scenario that will seek peaceaccording to the negotiations implemented by Donald Trump. This leads to Brent Barril to quote below $ 74.6which brings crude to minimum of the year.
On the other hand, the opinion of the market consensus by 2025 is that there will be a raw oversupply. Meanwhile, the global demand will continue in the terms of the past exercise due to the slow recovery of the Chinese economy. Therefore, several analysis firms do not rule out see a price of $ 60 per barrel this year which would be to see the lowest prices since 2021.
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