Election political polls today 14 September 2023
ELECTION POLITICAL POLLS – Although Fdi is still the party that enjoys the greatest consensus, trust in the prime minister and the effectiveness of the government is declining: this is what emerges from the latest electoral political polls developed by Swg for the TgLa7.
According to the survey, in fact, Italians’ trust in Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni is at 39%, an increase compared to the 38 percent recorded in the months of May and July, but well below the 43% obtained a month after her settlement at Palazzo Chigi and the 44 percent recorded in November 2022.
Things are even worse with the index that measures the effectiveness of the government: in fact, in one year, Italians’ approval rating has dropped by as much as 15 percentage points.
In October 2022, i.e. one month after the victory in the political elections, Italians’ approval of the government’s effectiveness recorded 50% of the consensus.
A figure that has steadily decreased until reaching today’s 35 percent which, for the moment, is the lowest point recorded by the center-right executive one year after taking office.
HOW POLLS ARE DONE
Electoral and political polls are carried out by opinion polling companies respecting very specific scientific criteria. The authors of the surveys must identify a sample to interview that is sufficiently large and representative of the population they intend to analyse. In the case of surveys on party voting intentions or the confidence index of political leaders, the interviewees must adequately represent the adult Italian population, those who have the right to vote and who go to the polls. This work is done to minimize the margin of error and make the detection as reliable as possible.
Usually a political-electoral poll is considered reliable if the margin of error indicated is 3 percent with a confidence interval of 95 percent. The greatest difficulty for pollsters is precisely that of identifying a representative sample of the population. Interviews for electoral political surveys are usually carried out with a Cati methodology, by telephone, or Cawi, via the Internet, or mixed. To carry out interviews, opinion polling companies rely on specialized companies.
Read also: All surveys
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