Military expert Robert Farley in an article for the portal 19FortyFive assessed the chances of the United States in the event of waging a war simultaneously with Russia and China. In his opinion, Washington will not be able to hold out for long, fighting on two fronts with the world powers.
The author of the article hypothetically examines a situation when hostilities at the same time will unfold in the South China Sea and the Pacific Ocean with China and in Europe, in particular in the Baltic States, with Russia. As in World War II, he said, “The US Army will bear the brunt of defending Europe, while the Navy will focus on the Pacific. The US Air Force (US Air Force) will play a supporting role in both theaters of war. “
According to Farley, the United States will have to use all its naval forces in the war with the PRC, since the American allies are not interested in waging a war in this region and would prefer to stay on the sidelines.
“Japan or India may be interested in the South China Sea, but this hardly guarantees their participation in the war (or even the degree of benevolence of their neutrality),” he writes.
At the same time, with regard to the theater of military operations in Europe, then the United States can count on the support of NATO allies. Farley assumes that Russia will be able to capture part of the Baltic States, but it will suffer greatly from the aviation of the North Atlantic alliance and, most likely, will not be able to hold the occupied territory for a long time.
Farley notes that the European allies have sufficient strength to achieve a “strategic and political” victory, and then all the necessary funds can be transferred to another front.
According to the expert, the United States can still win the war on two fronts thanks to the power of NATO and the presence of the “most formidable army” in the world.
“However, it should be emphasized that this situation will not last forever. The United States cannot maintain this level of dominance indefinitely, and in the long term it will have to choose its obligations carefully, ”the author of the article concludes.
On July 3, the Russian ambassador to Washington, Anatoly Antonov, said that representatives of the United States government took into account the statement of Russian President Vladimir Putin about the possible involvement of the United States in the incident with the British destroyer Defender in the Black Sea, despite the fact that Washington did not admit its participation in the incident with the British destroyer. in the public sphere. Antonov pointed out that Putin’s signal was “read by the relevant departments.”
During the direct line on June 30, Vladimir Putin said that the provocation with the participation of the British destroyer Defender immediately after the Russian-American summit in Geneva was undertaken to show the West’s disrespect for the choice of the Crimean population. According to him, it was a complex provocation, which was carried out with the participation of the United States: for example, before the British destroyer entered the territorial Russian waters, an American strategic reconnaissance aircraft took off from one of the airfields of the North Atlantic Alliance, as Putin pointed out.
On June 23, the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation, together with the border service of the FSB, stopped the violation of the Russian state border by the British destroyer Defender. The ship crossed the state border of the Russian Federation and entered the territorial sea in the area of Cape Fiolent for 3 km.
The Russian Defense Ministry regarded the incident as a gross violation of the 1982 UN Convention on the Law of the Sea and called on the British side to conduct a thorough investigation into the actions of the Defender crew.