Election political polls today 9 October 2024
ELECTION POLITICAL POLLS – The Brothers of Italy and the 5 Star Movement are declining, Pd and Forza Italia are doing well, Italia Viva is collapsing: this is what emerges from the latest electoral political polls developed by Swg for the TgLa7.
According to the survey, Giorgia Meloni’s party dropped by 0.3 percent and is now at 29.5%. The Democratic Party takes advantage of this, growing by 0.3% and thus rising to 22.7 percent.
The 5 Star Movement is doing badly, losing almost half a percentage point (-0.4%): the party led by Giuseppe Conte, therefore, drops to 11.4%.
Forza Italia did well, gaining 0.4 percent, thus reaching 8.7%, while the League was at 8.5 percent, up 0.1 percent.
Among the other minor parties, both the Greens/Italian Left (6.9%) and Action (2.8%) fell by 0.2 percent while Italia Viva fell by 0.3% and is now at 2.2 percent .
HOW POLLS ARE DONE
Electoral and political polls are carried out by opinion polling companies respecting very specific scientific criteria. The authors of the surveys must identify a sample to interview that is sufficiently large and representative of the population they intend to analyse. In the case of surveys on party voting intentions or the confidence index of political leaders, the interviewees must adequately represent the adult Italian population, those who have the right to vote and who go to the polls. This work is done to minimize the margin of error and make the detection as reliable as possible.
Usually a political-electoral poll is considered reliable if the margin of error indicated is 3 percent with a confidence interval of 95 percent. The greatest difficulty for pollsters is precisely that of identifying a representative sample of the population. Interviews for electoral political surveys are usually carried out with a Cati methodology, by telephone, or Cawi, via the Internet, or mixed. To carry out interviews, opinion polling companies rely on specialized companies.
Read also: All surveys
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