The PSC would be the most voted force in an election held on February 14, but not necessarily the one that would get the largest number of seats, according to the estimate of the Center for Scientific Research published this morning. The poll estimates that the Catalan Socialists could win between 30 and 35 seats, in competition with Esquerra Repulicana de Catalunya, to which it grants between 31 and 33 deputies.
The study, carried out between January 2 and 15, it already measures the supposed blow of effect that the appointment of Minister Salvador Illa supposed, on December 30, as the PSC candidate to replace the party’s first secretary, Miquel Iceta. The head of Health, who does not intend to leave the Government until the campaign begins, is also the highest-valued candidate, according to the study by the center led by the socialist José Félix Tezanos. His average grade is 5, compared to 4.6 for the candidates from Esquerra, Pere Aragonès, and Junts per Catalunya, Laura Borràs.
In the area of the right, the forecast is also of profound change. The CIS contemplates a resounding fall of the winning party of the last elections, Ciudadanos, which would nevertheless remain ahead of the PP and Vox, with between 13 and 15 seats. The struggle between the formation of Pablo Casado and that of Santiago Abascal, however, remains without a clear winner, but the surprise is not ruled out. The popular would thus obtain seven seats. His rivals move between six and ten, but in number of votes they come out better: 6.6% compared to 5.8%.