Political electoral polls today 19 October 2021
POLITICAL ELECTORAL POLLS TODAY – The center-left wins the municipal elections, but the center-right continues to have the wind in its sails at the national level: this is what emerges from the latest political electoral polls prepared by Swg for the TgLa7.
According to the survey, in fact, Fratelli d’Italia not only remains the first party in the country, but also earns almost half a percentage compared to the previous survey. Giorgia Meloni’s party, in fact, rises by 0.4 percent and settles at 21.1%.
The League earns 0.2 percent and rises to 19.4 percent. Immediately after, at 19.2%, there is the Democratic Party, which rises by 0.2%. The 5 Star Movement, on the other hand, loses half a percentage point and drops to 16.4%.
Forza Italia is credited at 7 percent, down 0.1% compared to the previous week, while Action by Carlo Calenda goes from 4.1% to 3.9 percent, losing 0.2 percent.
Article 1 earns 0.3%, reaching 2.9%, while both Sinistra Italiana and Italia Viva move back by 0.2%, reaching 2.2% and 2.1% respectively.
HOW THE POLLS ARE DONE
The electoral and political polls are carried out by opinion polling societies respecting very specific scientific criteria. The authors of the surveys must identify a sample to be interviewed that is sufficiently large and representative of the population to be analyzed. In the case of polls on voting intentions for parties or the confidence index of political leaders, therefore, the interviewees must adequately represent the Italian population of age, those who have the right to vote and who go to the polls.
This work is done to minimize the margin of error and make the detection as reliable as possible. Usually a political-electoral poll is considered reliable if the indicated margin of error is 3 percent with a 95 percent confidence interval. It is precisely that of identifying a representative sample of the population that is the greatest difficulty for pollsters. Interviews for political electoral polls are usually conducted with a Cati methodology, by telephone, or Cawi, via the Internet, or mixed. To carry out the interviews, opinion polling companies rely on specialized companies.
Read also: All surveys
#centerleft #wins #municipal #polls #continue #reward #centerright #data