Analyst Kalmanovich: forecasts for the dollar at 150 rubles. are of a speculative nature
Estimates of the ideal exchange rate for the Russian economy within the range of 150-160 rubles per dollar are doubtful. About this stated Neomarkets chief analyst Oleg Kalmanovich in an interview with the Prime agency.
According to him, such forecasts are often speculative. The expert noted that such a course is unprofitable for the economy. He also added that with such forecasts, the planning horizon is important. “If it is five years old, then, of course, the chances of seeing 150 rubles per dollar are much higher than if we take the cutoff until the end of the year. But even then these chances are not so high, the probability is not 40-50 percent, but just a few percent,” Kalmanovich explained.
In addition, the analyst recalled that according to the forecast of the Ministry of Economic Development, the dollar will cost 100 rubles in July 2026. Thus, he emphasized, the authorities are ready to weaken the ruble, but not at such a fast pace.
Earlier, BitRiver financial analyst Vladislav Antonov predicted that the dollar in the second autumn month of 2024, within the framework of a positive scenario, would fluctuate between 90–95 rubles.
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