The 50% of the jobs that is done in the office is already useless. With AI this threshold rises to 93%. The real question is what people will do in the next five or ten years. Even a site like Aranzulla.it may no longer make sense. To affirm it is Salvatore Aranzulla, the well-known technology content blogger, interviewed on Gianluca Gazzoli’s BSMT podcast. The coding expert is very skeptical and thinks that with AI, jobs and people will have to be rethought: “It will end very badly. I’m not optimistic at all.”
Aranzulla’s concern
“Why should I consult such a site if I can consult the AI to ask for information on the printer configuration – replied the expert, questioned by the interviewer on the topic -? The AI will respond to you in a timely and precise manner, rather than reading a huge article like mine and look for the section that concerns your PC”.
In the case of authors of websites and blogs, Salvatore Aranzulla asks himself: “In the case of my field is to understand how this AI will pay for our work. AI does not invent, but steals information from existing sites. If Aranzulla.it no longer exists, where will the AI get the information?”
What will people do in the next 5-10 years?
“On every single work area there are reports that estimate how replaceable employees are and professionals. They report high data such as 80% probability of replacement. Even a newspaper editorial team, where press releases or economic news are often reworked, for example, why should there be people left to write an article?”, asks the IT expert.
So what will people do in the next few years? “We need to give a purpose to those who wake up in the morning. Today I carry on my family and my work, I solve the problems of the night before, I raise my daughter. If half of it no longer exists what purpose will I have in the morning? I’m not optimistic at all. It will end badly.”
Will AI replace workers?
One of the most recent studies is that of‘Artificial Intelligence Observatory of the Polytechnic of Milan, according to which, ten years from now, machines could carry out the work of 3.8 million people in Italy alone. Six out of ten large Italian companies have already started AI projects and the AI market itself is growing rapidly: +52% in 2023, for a value of 760 million euros. For now, small and medium-sized businesses remain far behind: only 7% are reflecting on potential applications and only 2% have activated at least one trial. From the point of view of workers, then, as many as 77% of Italians look at AI with fear, especially in relation to the possible impacts on employment.
An intervention from the institutions was necessary with the European Union being a forerunner on legislation related to AI. Ai Act defined artificial intelligence “as an automated system designed to operate with variable levels of autonomy and which can exhibit adaptability after deployment and which, for explicit or implicit objectives, infers from the input it receives how to generate outputs such as predictions,
content, recommendations or decisions that may influence physical or virtual environments”. There EU legislation follows a risk-based approach by prohibiting those systems that have unacceptable risks; precise requirements for high-risk systems provide for a conformity assessment and human supervision and finally those systems with low or minimal risk are admitted with less stringent rules.
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