The agreement hoped for by the leaders starts with 8 billion in tax cuts. A reduction in IRAP is possible
Sit down at a table to sign a pact on the maneuver. This was proposed by the secretary of the Democratic Party Enrico Letta interviewed by this newspaper, receiving a favorable response from the entire majority. The problem is on which themes to build the agreement. The tax cut is the most substantial chapter of the budget law and it is also the one that lends itself better than other matters to a bipartisan agreement. There are 8 billion euros that the government has decided not to restart precisely to arrive at a shared amendment in Parliament. The Democratic Party is pushing for a lightening of the burden especially on workers’ paychecks, while to help companies, the Democrats are calling for the cancellation of contributions on family allowances paid by the employer.
The 5 stars would also like to reward the self-employed and businesses, while Lega, Forza Italia and Renziani would prefer to concentrate almost all resources on overcoming IRAP. Without forgetting the requests of Confindustria. President Carlo Bonomi was clear: “We need a serious contribution cut to the tax wedge, the 8 billion must all be put there”. The point of fall is to find a balance to guarantee some more money to workers with medium-low incomes (by acting on the Irpef), start the overcoming of the IRAP (with a reduction in the rate) and ensure a higher labor cost. lightweight for business.
As always happens during the budget session, it takes time to find the right balance. The good intentions of the parties, which do not want to be reduced to a parliamentary battle between Christmas and New Year, are certainly not a barrier to the presentation of the amendments in this first phase. When the deadline is established, roughly in about ten days, the Senate will receive thousands of proposed amendments. An avalanche that will be reduced in a second phase, when the debate and the votes begin. Parallel to the table of the Budget Committee another one will open, the one between the speakers, the economic delegates of the political forces and the Mef. Only at the last moment, a few nights before going to court, the agreement – if there is one – will be ratified. The fireplace between the six leaders and Prime Minister Mario Draghi therefore becomes fundamental in terms of merit and method, to preserve the financial process from parliamentary Vietnam.
The tax is the priority, and there is not only the tax cut.
The other knot to be solved are the tax bills. Matteo Salvini wants a new scrapping for the years 2018 and 2019 and the reopening of the payment terms for those who have failed or will not be able to pay the installments of the other scraps due to the crisis triggered by Covid. On the scrapping quater and the larger meshes for expiring payments, the Carroccio has the side of the 5-star Movement. The Democratic Party is more cautious, which intends to move the installments a little further to give taxpayers more oxygen, perhaps as of December 31st. Contrary to Leu. The tam tam of the League is also strong to extend the flat tax to 15% to the self-employed with revenues between 65 thousand and 100 thousand euros. However, it seems unlikely that M5s and Pd will agree to reintroduce a 2018 regulation repealed by Conte 2 and which costs two billion over the three-year period.
The other matter that has already triggered the whole majority is the Superbonus. Nobody likes the 25 thousand euro roof of ISEE to renovate the houses taking advantage of the maxi deduction at 110%. Therefore it will be necessary to bring alternative and certain coverages because the Treasury already considers it a mediation and does not want to back down. The 5-star Movement has raised the alarm on the anti-fraud decree that risks blocking construction sites. Argument that could produce some simplification, but elsewhere. The Revenue Agency, moreover, to allay the fears of the builders, has already reactivated the channel to communicate the assignment of the credit or the discount on the invoice.
The appeal lacks citizenship income and pensions. Actually armored flag measures. The subsidy dear to the 5 stars amounts to almost 9 billion and the tightening of controls and job offers has already been agreed. The League would like to transfer part of those funds to disability policies and the tax authorities. With the support of Berlusconi, Renzi and Meloni, the votes on citizenship income are expected to be complicated for the majority. The Democratic Party, which defends the principle of the allowance together with the Movement, aims to insert the changes recommended by the Saracen commission to help large families and foreigners. In short, if you open Pandora’s box it can blow everything. Better to keep it tightly closed and limit yourself to some adjustments on active policies and on the use of any savings to be allocated to other posts.
Pensions are the final piece of the puzzle. Today begins the discussion between the executive and the trade unions to create a more flexible system than Fornero’s 67-year-old staircase. The maneuver gained another year: Quota 102 (64 years and 38 contributions) will be valid for 2022. For the future, the only solution is the contribution recalculation for those who want to leave early, on the model of the Woman Option. There is little negotiation on this.
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