The SPD moves up to a few percentage points on the Union. In particular, their candidate Laschet has to put up with the current survey.
Berlin – Are the comparatively good popularity ratings of Olaf Scholz now paying off for the SPD? It almost seems like this: In a recent poll, the party has grown significantly within a week. The Union, on the other hand, is still at a low altitude. And also Green Chancellor candidate Annalena Baerbock and Union Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet suffer losses.
In a new Forsa poll for the federal election in September, the CDU and CSU lost three percentage points. In the previous week, the Union was still at 26 percent – now it has slipped to 23 percent. The SPD, however, can be happy. The party of Chancellor candidate Scholz currently reaches 19 percent. This emerges from the RTL / ntv trend barometer published on Wednesday. It is said that this is the party’s best value in the survey since April 2018.
Survey: Union in low flight – SPD around Chancellor candidate Scholz can rejoice
The Greens remain at 20 percent, as in the previous week. This puts them just one percentage point ahead of the Social Democrats. The FDP gains one percentage point and comes to 12 percent. The left loses a percentage point and currently comes to seven percent in the survey. The right-wing populist AfD remains unchanged at ten percent.
According to these figures, a majority would have four alliances in the new parliament: black-yellow-green (“Jamaica”), a coalition of CDU / CSU, SPD and FDP (a German coalition as in Saxony-Anhalt), of the Greens, SPD and FDP (“traffic light”) and also a left alliance of the Greens, the SPD and the left.
- CDU / CSU: 23 percent
- Greens: 20 percent
- SPD: 19 percent
- FDP: 12 percent
- AfD: 10 percent
- The left: 7 percent
- Other: 9 percent
However, the following applies: election polls are only a snapshot. In a poll by the opinion research institute Insa, the Union had won 25.5 percent of the vote a few days ago, while the Greens and the SPD had received 17.5 percent.
Survey: Chancellor candidates in comparison – SPD politician Scholz continues to grow in popularity
SPD chancellor candidate Olaf Scholz increases the gap to his competitors in terms of chancellor preference. Compared to the previous week, the current Vice Chancellor and Federal Minister of Finance can gain five percentage points and thus comes to 26 percent. If the population could choose their chancellor directly, Union chancellor candidate Laschet would currently get 12 percent in the Forsa survey, a loss of three percentage points. Green chancellor candidate Baerbock also has to accept the loss of two percentage points and the approval rate is 16 percent. According to the RTL / ntv trend barometer, approval for Laschet is also mixed within their own party. Only 39 percent would currently elect him as Federal Chancellor.
The comparison with the Bavarian Prime Minister Markus Söder (CSU) is tough for Laschet. From the point of view of many voters, the Bavarian would be the better candidate for the Union, according to the Forsa poll. 40 percent would vote for him if the Chancellor were directly elected. More than three times as many as for Armin Laschet. Two thirds of Germans (68%) blame the CDU chief in particular for the bad values of the Union. And 80 percent of the CDU and 90 percent of the CSU supporters see the responsibility for the losses at Laschet.
RTL / ntv trend barometer
The polling company Forsa surveyed a total of 2509 people in Germany from August 3rd to 9th. The statistical margin of error was given as plus / minus 2.5 percentage points.
Exactly half of those eligible to vote are of the opinion that he should renounce his candidacy in favor of Söder. 59 percent of the CDU supporters and 64 percent of the CSU supporters would think it was right if Laschet were to let Söder be the candidate for chancellor. The competence value of the parties has also decreased. Only 17 percent (minus 7 compared to the previous week) trust the Union to cope with the problems of the Federal Republic. For the Greens, this value is unchanged at 10 percent, for the SPD it is still 6 percent. (aka)
Also read: The latest federal-state meeting is over. A number of measures were decided. Numerous reactions from politics, business and education followed.