Another survey shock for Armin Laschet and the Union: After the first TV triad, Olaf Scholz’s SPD continues to pull away, Annalena Baerbock and the Greens are slacking off a bit.
Berlin – Even after the first television triall of the three candidates for chancellor before the federal election in 2021, the SPD is still on an upward trend. Less than four weeks before going to the ballot box, another survey sees the SPD and its candidate for chancellor Olaf Scholz ahead.
In the opinion trend of the opinion research institute Insa for image the Social Democrats reach 25 percent, an increase of two percentage points within a week. So they are now clearly ahead of the Union, which with minus three points only comes to 20 percent. The Greens also lose half a point and reach 16.5 percent. The FDP increases to 13.5 percent (plus 0.5 points), the AfD (11 percent) and the Left (7 percent) remain stable.
Survey hammer after Triell: SPD is now clearly ahead of Union
According to Insa, five government coalitions are possible – four of them under the leadership of the SPD: an alliance of the SPD, the Union and the Greens, a coalition of the SPD, the Union and the FDP, a traffic light made up of the SPD, the Greens and the FDP, a coalition with the Union, the Greens and the FDP as well as red-green-red. For the INSA opinion trend, a total of 2015 citizens were surveyed from August 27 to 30, 2021.
In principle, election surveys only reflect the opinion at the time of the survey and are not predictions of the outcome of the election. You are also always fraught with uncertainties. Among other things, declining party ties and increasingly short-term voting decisions make it more difficult for opinion research institutes to weight the data collected. In the surveys of other institutes, the SPD had recently overtaken or even overtook the Union.
Video: Spectator survey according to Triell: Scholz wins the survey quite clearly
A Forsa survey carried out after the first TV triall also emerged as the winner of the SPD Chancellor candidate Olaf Scholz. Scholz’s appearance was felt by 36 percent as the best, 30 percent voted for Annalena Baerbock, Union Chancellor candidate Armin Laschet came last with 25 percent of the votes. (dpa / fmü)