Summer rain outlook 2024

By: Ernesto Castro Castro, head of the CAADES Meteorological Service.

According to the models of rain forecast likely during next summer and fall in Sinaloathey are reflecting a slight improvement in the humid conditions for the possible establishment in the Pacific Ocean of the La Niña phenomenon between June, July and August. Contrary to what happened on last summer and winter when El Niño appeared strongly impacting the region leaving the severe drought which still continues to affect most of the country.

Given that, when there is Niña in the Pacific Oceanincrease the wet and rainy conditions over the central, southern and southeastern regions of the country, and tend to decrease in the northwest region where it is located Sinaloagenerating less humid or dry conditions and a deficit in their average values ​​at the beginning of summer between June and July, mainly over the northern and central areas of the state, but behaving with a increasing trend above normal in the months from togosto and septemberrain mostly concentrated in the southern part of the state, and that under normal conditions little by little increasing water storage levels in dams until reaching an approximate recovery volume of between 50 and 60 percent of its total capacity, and where only the exception that means the eventual arrival or movement close to the coast of a tropical cyclone, could significantly improve the contributions and volumes of prey. .

That is to say, there are expectations of beneficial rains in most of the State, and that the summer will not be as bad as last year, with amounts of rain close to the average that will cushion the drought period, which is increasingly concurrent.

Although fewer cyclones are expected in the Pacific this year, as already mentioned, their direct or indirect effects that could improve rainfall averages are not ruled out.

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The Confederation of Agricultural Association of Sinaloa (CAADES) was founded on November 28, 1932 under the Federal Law of Agricultural Associations and currently the Law of Agricultural Organizations of the State of Sinaloa. The President for the period 2019-2022 is Mr. Gustavo Rojo Plascencia. CAADES is a solid organization that represents more than 30 thousand small-holder producers throughout our entity through 11 Farmers Associations. The Confederation of Agricultural Associations of Sinaloa represents, groups, protects, promotes and defends the interests of agricultural producers in Mexico and abroad, without political or partisan purposes. With the market approach, we achieve certainty for the producer, permanence, profitability and competitiveness. CAADES is a union economic organization capable of promoting changes and agreements that the Mexican countryside demands.

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