Viktor Zakharov, Head of the Department of Mathematical Modeling of Energy Systems at St. Petersburg State University, Head of the Center for Intellectual Logistics at St.
“If the current rate of decline in incidence continues this week, then by the end of this week the number of sick people will fall below one million. And if the dynamics of the decrease in the percentage increase continues in the future, then by December 20 the number of new cases of the disease may drop to the level of ten thousand per day, the number of active cases to the level of 600 thousand, “he told Izvestia.
Researchers have been using their mathematical model for a long time, but not so long ago they optimized it, which made the calculations more accurate. Along with the balance model, the new approach to forecasting is based on the model for estimating the total number of infected people, proposed earlier at St. Petersburg State University. It is built on an iterative approach: the data on the basis of which forecasts for two to three weeks are based is updated in real time.
On November 23, Russian Health Minister Mikhail Murashko said that the total number of coronavirus cases in Russia decreased by 14%. In addition, he said that the average rate of vaccination against coronavirus infection in Russia is high and exceeds 500 thousand people per day.
On the same day, it was reported that over the past day in Russia, 33,996 cases of coronavirus were detected. Most of all new cases were registered in Moscow (2749), Moscow region (1871) and Samara region (1529).
On November 20, the virologist of the Gamaleya Center, Alexander Butenko, said that the wave of COVID-19 incidence began to decline in Russia. The specialist noted that it is still impossible to name the exact date of its end, but if the recent trend towards a decrease in the number of cases continues for a week or two, then it will be possible to talk about an improvement in the situation.
Russian authorities are urging residents to get vaccinated to protect their health and take care of their loved ones. Citizens are vaccinated for free. Five vaccines against coronavirus have been registered in the country: Sputnik V, which became the first vaccine against COVID-19 in the Russian Federation and the world, as well as Sputnik Light, EpiVacCorona, EpiVacCorona-N and KoviVak.
All relevant information on the situation with the coronavirus is available on the websites stopcoronavirus.rf and access to all.rf, as well as by the hashtag #WeVeTogether. Coronavirus hotline: 8 (800) 2000-112.
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