By the end of 2020, up to 33 thousand people can die from coronavirus in Ukraine. Such results were shown modeling of the Kiev School of Economics subject to compliance with the “weekend quarantine”.
Three scenarios are considered.
“The green scenario is the most optimistic and, in our opinion, unlikely under the current conditions. He predicts 17 thousand deaths, subject to the immediate introduction of a lockdown throughout Ukraine. The yellow scenario, 26 thousand deaths, is possible provided the weekend quarantine is triggered. The black scenario – 33 thousand deaths from covid – is realized if the existing quarantine does not work. Maximum workload on hospitals possible in December 2020“, – made a forecast senior researcher at the Kiev School of Economics Yuriy Ganichenko…
According to him, the spread of coronavirus can only be taken under control by expanding the restrictions on the “weekend quarantine” on weekdays. This requires economic support for businesses and citizens.
These predictions are confirmed by the words of the mayor of Ivano-Frankivsk Ruslan Martsinkiv, who said in Facebook on the possible introduction of a full lockdown in December – information was announced following a conversation with the Prime Minister of Ukraine Denis Shmygal.
Photo by Sergey TUSHINSKY, “FACTS”