Abroad|The Russian attack
A hose of thousands of Russian vehicles arrived in Ukraine from Belarus. It is difficult for Ukraine to destroy vehicles, even though they are basically a “delicious paint,” says Major General Pekka Toveri.
Russian on Tuesday, the ground forces ran a huge hose of military vehicles towards the Ukrainian capital, Kiev, which was about 65 kilometers long, according to estimates from satellite images of the American company Maxar.
The column advancing from the northwest moves, for example, combat, assault and transport armored vehicles, track artillery, fuel vehicles and various maintenance equipment, and possibly about 10,000 soldiers, estimates the former Chief of Intelligence of the General Staff, Major General evp Pekka Toveri.
The comrade emphasizes that he presents “sleeve shaken estimates” because he has not been able to examine the satellite images in detail. However, based on a few images he saw and estimates in public sources about the size of the concentration of Russian troops, he estimated that there could be 2,000 to 3,000 military vehicles in the hose.
News agencies according to the vehicles are coming from Belarus and on their way to Kiev. The force aims to surrender to the Ukrainian capital and the country’s political leadership, but it is unclear how that could happen.
According to Pekka Tover, the first goal of the Russians would seem to be the siege and isolation of Kiev from the west. He thinks the troops will be concentrated in the stations for at least a day, after which the attack can be launched.
“Russian troops have not been extensively trained for settlement center battles. In the melee, they don’t seem to be doing terribly well against the Ukrainians, ”says Toveri.
Former Chief of Intelligence of the General Staff, Major General Pekka Toveri.
He speculates that Russia may first seek to infiltrate the administrative districts of Kiev, which has a population of about three million, as narrow wedges, with special forces at the forefront.
“But if it is rejected, there will be little choice.”
Options are scary.
“The worst option is to make the Grozny model, that is, destroy the city block by block with heavy fire support and move forward in stages. It would take days and weeks and cause huge human casualties, ”says Toveri.
Russian troops have fought in two different Chechen wars over control of the capital, Grozny. A total of months of blockades and bombings are the worst acts of war against human settlements since World War II. Tens of thousands of civilians died in the wars in Chechnya.
The woman mourned her ruined home in Grozny during the first war in Chechnya in the summer of 1995.
Multi a layman may have wondered how Russian military vehicles can only travel around along Ukrainian roads. According to a comrade, in principle, the column would be a very delicious paint for the Ukrainian Air Force, for example.
“However, the Air Force does not have the ability to penetrate through Russia’s air defense,” he says.
Ukraine has artillery, the fire of which may reach the nearest vehicles arriving from Kiev, but according to the Comrade, the Ukrainians may not have eyes to direct the exact artillery fire.
According to satellite images, the front of the vehicles on Tuesday morning was at Antonov Airport, located about 30 kilometers northwest of downtown Kiev. The stern of the hose was located around the village of Prybirsk.
The still image in the video allegedly shows Russian military vehicles in the Zhytomyr region of northern Ukraine just before the plane-crashed attack at the end of February. Reuters, the news agency that provided the image, has not been able to confirm the accuracy of the image and data.
Ukrainians there are some Bayraktar TB2 military aircraft purchased from Turkey that can be used to fire artillery shots from a distance of twenty kilometers – or to strike targets with the aircraft’s own missiles.
However, according to the comrade, there are not enough planes to cause significant damage, and they are needed elsewhere as well, as Russia is attacking on several fronts.
“That’s why Russia can drive in such a close grouping when there is no threat from above,” Toveri says.
The comrade also refers to reports that there has been a shortage of artillery grenades in Ukrainian artillery.
“They can’t afford to shoot blindly in the direction the Russians are estimated to be. There should always be a fire on fire to make an impact with that small amount of grenades. ”
Reserves queued up for weapons in downtown Kiev last Saturday. Yuri already had his own. The government had distributed more than 25,000 assault rifles to those willing
Friend estimates that in a strategic sense the President of Russia Vladimir Putin needs some victory to reach better negotiating positions with the Ukrainian leadership. The Russian attempt last week to infiltrate Kiev has failed miserably.
“There has been a complete underestimation of the opponent here. It’s like believing in your own propaganda, ”says Comrade.
According to him, Ukraine has seen a “winter war effect” in recent days, which has spread the will to fight not only to the armed forces but also to the civilian population.
In addition, it has come as a great surprise to Russia how closely Western countries have imposed sanctions against Russia. Putin may have relied on some countries to leach out from the front and no proper sanctions would be imposed.
“It is shocking that the West is like one unified wall. It shows how to go to war by playing. ”
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