It is no longer just Yelnya, but two sites in Boyevo, north east of the Ukrainian city of Kharkiv, Persianovka (very close to Donetsk and Luhansk) and Novoozernoye, in Crimea
A Biden administration official said Friday night that Moscow plans to “launch the military offensive against Ukraine in exactly the beginning of 2022, with a scale of forces twice as high as we saw last spring during the rapid build-up. Russian military near the borders of Ukraine “.
Perhaps never as on this occasion the American administration lets out, with the Washington Post, precise information with even a number on the massive massing of Russian military vehicles and soldiers on the southeastern border of Ukraine. This confirms what was told on November 25 by The print, who reported on the considerations of Fyodor Lyukanov, the political scientist closest to the Kremlin. The satellite images collected in recent weeks by American and Western intelligence, sometimes published by think tanks such as the CSIS, other times circulated in confidence, now clearly show no longer one, but four points in which the Russian operation is concentrating. It’s not just about Yelnya anymore, the city not far from Belarus, and three hundred kilometers from the Ukrainian border (Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova had written an aggressive and sarcastic letter against The Republic, except to be denied by numerous satellite images), but also by two sites in Boyevo, 360 kilometers northeast of the Ukrainian city of Kharkiv, in Persianovka (170 kilometers from Donetsk, in Donbass, and 175 kilometers from Luhansk) and Novoozernoye, in Crimea.
In all these places, according to an undeniable amount of confidential documents and open sources, there is now evidence of recent movements of troops, artillery, tactical assault material, Russians. Up to a potential number of 175,000 men. Heavy materials could be left slightly behind, ready to be quickly deployed at the command of Vladimir Putin. According to the Americans, there is “a large movement of 100 battalions. Before moving to the Camp David retreat, Biden said on Friday evening “I will not accept anyone’s red line”, and explained: “We have been aware of Russia’s actions for a long time and my expectation is that we will have a long discussion” , clear reference to the next virtual summit with Russian President Putin. The Russians, according to CNN, now have capabilities in place, along the border with Ukraine, to carry out a swift and immediate invasion, including building supply lines, bringing medical units and fuel that are capable of sustaining a protracted conflict. , if Moscow chooses to invade.
Open sources osint also allow us to examine a mighty path of movement of Russian troops from east to west, which is still in progress. Christo Grozev, lead analyst at Bellingcat, has relaunched a video on twitter – yet to be confirmed – in which it is possible to see massive movements of a very long military convoy, which, passing along the northern border of Kazakhstan, would have passed through the Moscow area to then head west, not far from the Belarusian border, precisely in the area of Yelnya, to then begin to descend, to the south, towards Ukraine.
Biden announced that “what I am doing is putting together what I believe will be the most comprehensive and meaningful set of initiatives to make it very, very difficult for Mr. Putin to move forward and do what people fear he may do. This is at stake right now ». Hinting that we are close to the moment when the United States will deem the red line that cannot be crossed has been crossed. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken was in Europe last week, and Ukraine was at the center of his talks. Biden said he was “continuously” in contact with European leaders. Diplomatic sources confirm a The print that contact with the Farnesina is currently constant, and Prime Minister Mario Draghi is following “personally” with extreme attention the evolution of the massing of Russian troops near the Ukrainian border. They say that Draghi is the closest Italian leader to Biden in this, while Berlin moves taking into consideration the concerns of the German system for the many bilateral contracts that revolve around the effective start-up, initially expected by the end of December, of the Russian-German North gas pipeline. Stream 2.
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