Quirinale, President Berlusconi. Center-right snipers must not be more than 20
On paper. Strictly on paper. The numbers to elect Silvio Berlusconi president of the Republic, obviously on the fourth ballot when the absolute majority of the big voters (505) will suffice, in theory there are. The calculations of the Sherpa’s Arcore, who updated the abacus of the Quirinale until the eve of Christmas, they are convinced that the mission is no longer impossible, but possible. What a few months ago Antonio Tajani announced as a “dream”, perhaps, it could materialize. But let’s go in order.
Still on paper, the Center-right united starts from 440 votes in Parliament, to which about two thirds of the Renzians of Italia Viva could (or should) be added (between 26 and 28). In the indefinite magma of the Mixed Group there would be, according to the latest rumors, about twenty parliamentarians ready to write the name of Berlusconi on the board. Some votes could also come from the Autonomy Group. According to the sources of the Center, contacted just on the eve of Christmas, another twenty between Pd and 5 Stars would have confided and assured their colleagues Forza Italia and Lega to be ready to support the former Knight.
On paper, therefore, the 505 quota could be overcome without too many jolts by electing Berlusconi Head of State on the fourth vote. The reasons that would lead Dem and Grillini to vote for the blue leader are different. They range from the fear of elections with Mario Draghi at the Quirinale, up to the recent conversion of Berlusconi on citizenship income.
Without forgetting that an important slice of the Pd the former Cav Presidente may also want to give a signal to the judiciary of a turning point and a rupture (the Head of State is also president of the CSM). On the other hand the Center left at the moment it does not have a strong and united candidate, Draghi is not convincing above all Enrico Letta and Giuseppe Conte (in addition to Matteo Renzi who is clearly opposed and wants him at Palazzo Chigi until 2023) and the road to find another candidate shared by the current government majority is all uphill, with crossed vetoes that risk burning the various Giuliano Amato, Pierferdinando Casini, Paola Severino and Marta Cartabia.
The only unknown for Berlusconi, always explain qualified sources, are the snipers of the Center-right. Eyes focused above all on the centrists, Courage Italy and more, but possible defections could also come from the same Come on Italy and, in part, from Brothers of Italy. The League, Salvinian sources assure, is granite on the name of Berlusconi. For the sherpas of Arcore, the center-right snipers must not exceed 20. If the friendly fire against Silvio remains within the double decade, thanks to the votes that should arrive from the other groups, the election of the former Cav al Quirinale it really is possible.
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