Quirinale, towards the Gentiloni-Berlusconi clash. Then only Draghi remains. Inside
The dossier gets mixed up Quirinale. The parties have no doubts about this and in fact many read that invitation by Enrico Letta to talk about the election of the Head of State only after the okay to the maneuver just like the plastic demonstration that there is no agreement on the Hill. The Democratic party, or at least the part that refers to the secretary Enrico Letta and the left of Peppe Provenzano and Goffredo Bettini, still hopes for a rethinking of Sergio Mattarella and continues not to exclude the encore of the outgoing President, which would obviously be the most painless solution and which would leave the political forces calm with Mario Draghi at Palazzo Chigi until 2023.
But a slice of the Pd, Base Riformista which is about to give birth to the new extended current of the Reformists with Graziano Delrio and the local administrators of weight with Stefano Bonaccini and Dario Nardella, has very little hope that Mattarella will review its decision and is already moving on to other scenarios. The first choice of the Dems – in this case united – is that of the European Commissioner Paolo Gentiloni, “of course they want one of them to continue to govern for another five years without winning the elections”, jokes a member of parliament from the Brothers of Italy. Behind the hypothesis Gentiloni al Quirinale – explain qualified sources – there are also international scenarios and in particular the privileged axis that the Democratic Party, with Letta who lived for years in Paris, has established with the French president Emmanuel Macron.
Gentiloni Head of State, in essence, would strengthen the Rome-Paris alliance, blessed by the Democratic Party, and would also be welcomed in Brussels by the Commission led by Ursula von der Leyen. The fact remains that the Center Left, despite the probable ok of the 5 Star Movement in Gentiloni, this time does not have the numbers to elect the Head of state, especially after Matteo Renzi’s move away from the left following the latest events related to the Open case.
The Center-right is engaged in an attempt to bring Silvio Berlusconi to the Hill, difficult but not impossible, especially if there was the convergence of Italy Viva. And several blue sources exclude converging on Gentiloni. Therefore, a confused situation remains. And also the other ‘cards’ – da Paola Severino to Marta Cartabia, from Giuliano Amato to Pierferdinando Casini – at the moment they are defined by various sources of various parties as “weak, distant and divisive”. A possible clash between two blocs – Gentiloni against Berlusconi – would lead to paralysis from which one would only come out with Draghi President. Also because despite the fact that the Latvian Democratic Party does not want the prime minister at the Quirinale, he certainly cannot afford to put himself against it, jeopardizing relations for the next seven years.
And Draghi at the Quirinale, as he wrote Affaritaliani.it a few days ago, he brings with him the promotion of the Minister of Economy Daniele Franco in Chigi and, almost certainly, the political elections in September 2022. First because Franco would never have the strength to stand up to the drafting of a Budget Law on the eve of the elections and second because in the summer the first-nominated parliamentarians, above all M5S, will have acquired the right to the annuity and could therefore accept the dissolution of the Chambers without too much anxiety.
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