The assassination attempts on Donald Trump, the president’s resignation Joe Bidencriminal convictions and a record of donations: the 2024 US presidential election has had a series of events that have impacted voter preferences.
Kamala Harris She maintained some lead over Trump after Biden withdrew and endorsed her as the Democratic candidate, but the gap between them is fading with each day as Election Day approaches.
The polls most followed by Americans show a tie: the candidates are very close in the latest polls The New York Times/Siena College, Emerson College and CNN/SSRS, while Harris leads by just one point in the Reuters/Ipsos and CBS/YouGov polls.
The latest poll data Times show that Competition is particularly tight in key states: Arizona (Trump 49 percent-Harris 45), Georgia (Harris 48 percent-Trump 47), North Carolina (Harris 48 percent-Trump 46), Nevada (Harris 49 percent-Trump 46), and Wisconsin (Harris 49 percent-Trump 47) and Pennsylvania and Michigan that have the presidential vote tied.
NEW FINAL New York Times/Siena College Battleground Polls: TOO CLOSE TO CALL!!
Arizona: Trump 49% – Harris 45%; Gallego up by 5 Over Lake
Georgia: Harris 48% – Trump 47%
Michigan: Trump 47% – Harris 47%; Slotkin Leads Rogers 48-46%
North Carolina: Harris 48% – Trump 46%;… pic.twitter.com/0R5Ee7ETU8
— SienaResearch (@SienaResearch) November 3, 2024
Trump leads (48-46 percent) in CNBC poll among registered voters released Thursday (margin of error 3.1), and leads 47 to 45 percent in a poll of Wall Street Journal among registered voters released Wednesday (margin of error 2.5), a shift in Trump’s favor since August, when Harris led 47 to 45 percent in a poll by the Journal.
On the last Sunday of the campaign, Harris began his journey in a black church in Detroitwhere he told congregants that the nation was “prepared to bend the arc of history toward justice,” invoking the words of Martin Luther King Jr. Trump, for his part, began his at an open-air rally at a Pennsylvania airportwhere he told supporters that he “should not have left” the White House following his loss to President Biden in 2020.
Unpopular vice presidential candidates
The choice of a vice president is usually due more to political calculation than to his fitness for the position, but The role of both candidates in this campaign has not been decisive.
J.D. Vancea 40-year-old Ohio senator, best-selling author and Yale-educated venture capitalist, was introduced as Trump’s running mate in July. A series of gaffes at ralliesas well as unearthed comments about America being ruled by “childless cat ladies,” quickly made him a the least popular vice presidential candidate in history.
His counterpart is the governor of Minnesota, Tim Walz60 years old. Democrats, relatively unknown on the national political scene, have emphasized their small-town Nebraska roots in an effort to sway undecided voters in the Midwest. Although it is more popular than its counterpart, it has also been revealed as a divisive figure among the electorate.
The road to the White House is not easy at all and from the outside we must keep in mind that the result depends on the votes of the Electoral College, not the popular vote. Five times, the winner of the popular vote has lost elections: Hillary Clinton in 2016, the last time.
Each state returns a portion of the country’s 538 electors, distributed based on population. The magic number for the presidency is a majority of 270.
The outcome of this election depends on a handful of key battlegrounds that could tilt one way or the other. Trump and Harris now prepare for the last day of the campaign. And of course both will be in Pennsylvaniathe place both campaigns have always seen as the swing state of 2024.
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