Matteo Salvini – Silvio Berlusconi (Lapresse)
The federation within the Center-right between Lega-Forza Italy? It risks not being a good deal for Matteo Salvini is Silvio Berlusconi. At least according to i surveys (Emg-Different), which tell of an overall decline for the two parties united, compared to a situation in which they remain separate. To gain would be first and foremost Giorgia Meloni. But in addition to Brothers of Italy, other parties would benefit: from Courage Italy to We with Italy, until Italy Viva is Action. Let’s see the trends related to this scenario.
POLLS, LEGA AND FORZA ITALIA SEPARATED AT 28.5%, UNITED AT 23.8%. SALVINI-BERLUSCONI ALARM
THE political polls (Emg-Different for Adnkronos) linked to the first surveys on the future federation between League is Come on Italy tell of a ” slow start ”. “Much will depend on how the new subject that will take the light will be presented and communicated” but at the moment the project does not seem to warm the center-right voters. In fact, if 56% say they are in favor of the union between the parties of Matteo Salvini is Silvio Berlusconi, the analysis of electoral flows shows some criticalities. Based on the voting intentions, the League is credited with 21.5%, while Forza Italia with 7%. The federation, however, would take away votes from the two parties, reaching only 23.8% (-4.7% compared to the sum of Lega and Fi).
Polls, Pd first party: Salvini’s League collapses. And the Meloni .. The trends
POLLS, BROTHERS OF ITALY FLY WITH THE LEGA-FORZA ITALIA FEDERATION. HERE’S HOW MUCH GIORGIA MELONI EARNS
League is Come on Italy together they would do an assist Giorgia Meloni just to start. In fact, the poll records a shift in favor of Brothers of Italy (almost + 2%). But not only. It would also benefit Courage Italy of Luigi Brugnaro is Giovanni Toti, We with Italy of Maurizio Lupi, to stay in center right. The flows then indicate a transfer of votes in favor of formations outside the center-right, such as Italy alive of Matteo Renzi is Action of Carlo Calenda. When asked ‘are you in favor of the project of a federation between Lega and Forza Italia?’, 56% of center-right voters say yes, 30% no, while 14% prefer not to answer.
Meloni hopes for the Salvini-Berlusconi wedding. So FdI flies and she premier
The survey based on voting intentions is more complex. “The creation of a center-right federation between League is Come on Italy does not broaden the consensus (the two separate forces are worth 28.5% while combined they reach 23.8%) “with a decrease of 4.5%. The decrease would seem to favor above all Fdi of Giorgia Meloni, which recorded + 1.9%. “There are also shifts in favor of Courage Italy of Brugnaro is Toti (+ 0.5%), We with Italy of Wolves (+ 0.6%), Italy Viva di Renzi (+ 0.8%) and to a lesser extent towards Action of Calenda (+ 0.2%) “.
Average of polls: FdI grows:
pressing Meloni on Salvini’s League. M5S bad. Pd …
POLLS: LEGA-FORZA ITALY? EARNINGS FOR BROTHERS OF ITALY, ITALY ALIVE, COURAGE ITALY, WE WITH ITALY. THE POLITICAL TRENDS
In the detail of the survey, the League is at 21.5% e Come on Italy at 7%. United with the federation they reach 23.8%, yielding 4.5% on the street as mentioned. With the birth of the federation between League is Fi, Brothers of Italy passes from 18.6% to 20.5% (+ 1.9%); Italy alive from 3.7% to 4.5% (+ 0.8%); Action from 3.2% to 3.4% (+ 0.2%); Courage Italy from 1.4% to 1.9% (+ 0.5%); We with Italy from 1.1% to 1.7% (+ 0.6%). Growth was also recorded in Pd, from 17.8% to 18% (+ 0.2%); and the M5S from 17.1% to 17.3% (+ 0.2%). The SURVEY, representative of the Italian adult population by sex, age, region, class of demographic amplitude of the municipalities, was carried out on 8 June 2021 with the method of telematic detection on a panel, on a sample of 1,592 cases (universe: population Italian adult) and has a positive / negative confidence interval of 2.3%. Total contacts: 2,000, response rate 80%; waste / replacements 408 (waste rate 20%).