Sinaloa.- The 46 percent of business owners surveyed for discussion in three cities of Sinaloa awaits that improve your business situation this 2022 (question 6), however, there is a considerable 31 percent who said they do not see a moment of that happening, and another 8 percent of entrepreneurs who have no idea when their situation will improve.
These answers are understood within the pandemic context that we currently live in that we know, had different negative repercussions for the economies international, national and state.
Despite this panorama, according to the Council for the Economic Development of Sinaloa (Codesin), there has been registering a slow, but gradual, recovery of the economy in Sinaloa from 2020 to here, which seems hopeful; However, the sentiment of businessmen in three main cities of the state, such as Mazatlán, Culiacán and Ahome, tends more towards a pessimistic view of their situation as business owners in the face of the economic situation left by the pandemic, according to three experts. To this publishing house: César Miguel Valenzuela, research economist and professor at the Autonomous University of Sinaloa; Rajid Roberto Luna Cruz, economist and financial educator, and Aarón Sánchez, economist, columnist and academic, who, when analyzing the most recent survey on business perspective, highlight that entrepreneurs are somewhat hopeless and uncertain about the future.
Regarding 2020, the economic situation last year was rated as worse at the national level for 57 percent of the participants in this study; while similarly, the state economy also performed worse, according to 46 percent, with greater pessimism in Mazatlán and Culiacán (questions 1 and 2).
Read more:
MSMEs support the economy
Debate carried out the survey between December 23 and 30, 2021, in order to collect the feeling of the business economic sector regarding its expectations towards 2022 in Sinaloa and the beginning of the first semester of the fourth year of the government of Andrés Manuel López Obrador .
The data collected in the survey was obtained from 157 participating entrepreneurs who make up the micro, small, medium and large companies (MSMEs) of the cities of Culiacán, Ahome and Mazatlán, cities with extensive commercial, tourist and service activity, therefore, was representative, from the point of view of the experts consulted by Debate.
The profile that stands out among the participants is that of being administrators of micro-enterprises, with 86 percent of the responses; small business owners scored 8 percent; those who take charge of medium-sized companies reached 4 percent; and large businessmen account for 2 percent of the total number of participants. The proportion represented by the sample of this medium is close to that registered by Inegi in 2019, when the Institute cataloged that the commercial activity of the state came from MSMEs, with microenterprises being 93 percent of the total in Sinaloa in that year.
The sample continues to get closer to the real composition of the type of companies in the state if one takes into account that it was answered by entrepreneurs from the commercial sector in 50 percent of the cases, from the services sector with 42 percent and from the industrial sector a 8 percent; It is compared with the Inegi record in 2019, which contemplated 40.6 percent, 44.4 percent and 10.5 percent for the business, commercial, service and manufacturing industries, respectively.
This medium inquired how the owners of MSMEs perceived 2021 compared to 2020 in terms of the economic situation of the sector they work in (question 3). Of the total number of businessmen from the three branches consulted, 43 percent indicated that the situation was worse in 2021 compared to 2020, 36 percent said that it was the same, and 21 out of every 100 participants made it clear that for them it is the same.
At this point, in the breakdown by municipality, César Valenzuela sees that Ahome and Culiacán have similar data, and agree that they fared worse. In the case of Mazatlán, 40 percent said that it is worse, 21 percent say that it is the same, and 39 percent say that it is better, a higher percentage for this option than those obtained by the municipalities in the center and north of the state. .
“Mazatlán, especially at the end of 2021, was like an experiment, because they opened it with everything and a pandemic, and people came in and so on,” Valenzuela observed; that is, this opening of spaces during the pandemic supported the local economy of the city, despite the fact that attendance at hotels and recreational places became a dangerous activity, according to the economist.
On the other hand, for Rajid Luna, those who perceive an improvement may be going through “a recovery period that is slow, but that has yet to come, especially when some sectors such as schools, airports, borders have already been opened” , and since Mazatlan is touristy, he observed, this percentage is better.
In fact, compared to 2020, the tourism sector had a better recovery in 2021, he said, and this can be corroborated with data from the Ministry of Tourism (Sectur) that registered an increase in national tourism activity in 2021 compared to 2020, and this was not the exception in Sinaloa, since at least until the third quarter of 2021 the Sectur recorded the visit of a total of 3 million 741 thousand 787 tourists in the state, this represented 58 percent more than in 2020. In addition, It should be noted that, of the total number of tourists who visited Sinaloa in 2021, 74.5 percent were concentrated in Mazatlán.
The pandemic for companies
Regarding the perception of your company in 2021 compared to 2020 (question 4), we can observe divided responses from employers, since in round figures, 36 participants out of 100 said that the situation is worse, and the same percentage considered that the situation remained the same. From the perspective of César Valenzuela, this indicates a very pessimistic view of the economic situation that entrepreneurs were experiencing at the time of the survey. In fact, with these two state responses, it is possible to specify 72 percent of participants who do not see an improvement in their situation, only about 29 percent indicated that 2021 was better than 2020.
When observing the responses by municipality, the economists pointed out that they are very close responses as to whether it was better, worse or the same, however, the responses that it was worse prevail in number, with Culiacán being the one that most chose a perception of worse, with 39 percent.
Rajid Luna believes that the answers to these questions depend to a large extent on the degree of consolidation of the companies and that surely those that have been in existence for more than five years fared better: “those companies, those that already have a position in the market, and people have the need to go to them, and that is why they have lasted so many years, and perhaps their demand for the product they offer continued during the pandemic.” It would also depend on its sector, so hoteliers could resent it more than a grocery store that offers food and basic products, Luna said.
Question number 5 asked how businessmen fared in different areas in the first quarter of 2021, compared to the same period from January to March 2020, the year in which the pandemic began, with possible answers to the factors: greater, equal, less or does not apply. This part of the survey was considered with very significant answers by César Valenzuela, which were the following: in terms of production, the businessmen of the three municipalities surveyed agreed that it was worse for them in 2021, since most responded that they had a production least, with Culiacán being the most affected, with 50 percent of participants from this city saying they produced less.
Ahome scored in the same tenor, with 48 percent, and Mazatlán, with 41 out of 100. The highest-scoring municipality for greater production in 2021 was Mazatlán, with 29 percent, Ahome and Culiacán coincided with both having 18 percent.
Less sales, more costs
Something similar was observed in the number of sales, since the three municipalities agree that they had fewer sales in 2021 than in 2020. The municipality with the highest percentage of businessmen who decreased sales was Culiacán, giving a total of 56 percentage points, followed by Mazatlán and Ahome, with 54 and 53 percent, respectively.
Regarding the prices of products, in the three municipalities analyzed, the businessmen agree that in 2021 they increased the prices of their products. In Ahome were those who had the most cases of price increases, with 48 entrepreneurs out of 100.
For Aarón Sánchez, the rise in prices and the drop in production and sales is proof that “the economic contraction experienced by the pandemic is real and affects everyone” and in his words, the responses show that production fell and that in addition, “on average, its level of total sales decreased by 54 percent”, affecting more the companies of Culiacán and Los Mochis (Ahome), he reiterated.
Despite all this, Sánchez observes that “companies have protected the level of employment in Sinaloa”, because in terms of the number of employees, the three municipalities surveyed coincide in having the number of employees as a greater response than both in 2020 and 2021. remained the same, with an average 45 percent response rate from all business owners in the state.
When analyzing the particular responses of each municipality, the results were as follows: 45 percent of Ahome entrepreneurs confirmed that in 2021 the number of employees remained the same as 2020; 44 percent of Culiacanenses and 43 percent of Mazatlecos also confirmed it. Although in question 12 (of our next edition) it will be observed that they did fire people, the economist Valenzuela believes that it could be thought that they hired people again, which is why the number remained the same in most companies.
To better understand the business population consulted by Debate, We can add that, for the most part, they were people between 50 and 69 years old, since at least 46 people out of 100 said they were in this age range. However, it is a mixed population that includes, in the words of César Valenzuela, an emerging population of young entrepreneurs who make up 23 percent and whose ages are between 18 and 29 years old. Another 15 percent of entrepreneurs were between 30 and 49 years old, the same percentage that the surveyed population of 70 years or older presented. It should also be noted that most of the people who responded to the survey were men, making up 77 percent of the total, and just over three quarters, the remaining 23 percent, were women entrepreneurs.
The data
challenges
The crisis caused by the covid-19 pandemic caused uncertainty in the business sector, generating negative prospects for many businesses, and testing the ability to adapt to all business models and preconceived work dynamics before the pandemic (Ipade .mx, 2021).
Security
In Sinaloa, as in the rest of the country, during the pandemic, actions were implemented to contain infections and not exceed the capacity of the health system, which produced a brake on state economic activity (Codesin, 2020).
Read more: Coronavirus Sinaloa: latest news today, February 22, about Covid-19
affected activity
The cancellation of national and international flights and trips due to the closure of borders at the end of the first quarter of 2020 was a great blow to Sinaloa, an entity with a great orientation towards tourist activities and international trade (Codesin, 2020).
#Owners #Mipymes #pessimistic #doubtful #Sinaloa