Who would you choose if the Chancellor could be directly elected? The results of a survey are disappointing for Armin Laschet.
Berlin – In the polls for the federal election, the CDU / CSU is still relatively comfortable in the lead. In the polls, the Union ranks consistently at 26 to 28 percent. That is partly ten percentage points more than the pursuers of the SPD and the Greens. Armin Laschet on the rise? Oh well. Meanwhile, the suspicion arises that the Union is on course not because of, but in spite of, its candidate for chancellor. In the personal surveys, the CDU boss falls behind. (With our brand new politics newsletter you will always stay up to date on the final spurt towards the federal election.)
Bundestag election: Now behind Baerbock – Laschet slips to last place in the chancellor ranking
The polling institute Forsa asked citizens about their preference for chancellor. Laschet received the worst approval ratings. If the Germans could vote for the Chancellor directly, 21 percent would choose Olaf Scholz. The SPD’s candidate for chancellor confirms his good poll numbers. For Green candidate Annalena Baerbock 18 percent would vote, Laschet achieved 15 percent.
In a recently published, comparable survey, Laschet was ahead of Baerbock. Four weeks ago, the native of Aachen was even in the lead – with five percentage points more than Scholz. Now the finance minister has clearly overtaken him. The popularity of Laschet is dwindling more and more – also from within our own ranks. Only 46 percent of the Union supporters would currently make Laschet directly to the chancellor. For comparison: Scholz (67 percent) and Baerbock (68) have more than a third.
In Germany, the Federal Chancellor is not directly elected. Instead, parties will be on the ballot for the federal election on September 26th, some of which will negotiate the formation of a coalition after the election. The governing parties usually hold a majority of the seats in the Bundestag. As a rule, the strongest party also provides the head of government.
Federal election 2021: Union would currently move into the Chancellery as the winner in the survey
Forsa also collected the parties’ general trend barometer on behalf of RTL. If the Bundestag election were already now, the Union would move into the Chancellery as the clear winner. With 26 percent, the CDU / CSU is well ahead of the Greens (20 percent) and the SPD (16 percent). In other polls, the Social Democrats were partly on a par with the Greens, who seem to be attacking again after a considerable loss of votes.
Background of the poll for the federal election 2021
The data on party and chancellor preferences were collected by the market and opinion research institute Forsa on behalf of Mediengruppe RTL from July 27 to August 2, 2021. 2502 people were interviewed. The statistical error tolerance is +/- 2.5 percentage points.
The FDP is currently in fourth place with 13 percent, ahead of the AfD with 10 percent. With 6 percent, the Left Party only ranks just above the five percent hurdle and, according to this survey, has to tremble about entering the Bundestag. The other parties come to a total of 9 percent. Most of them can be traced back to the free voters, who were last traded at 3 percent. (as)