E.According to a study by the University of Giessen, previous nocturnal curfews in Hessian districts and urban districts have not had any effect on the incidence figures. “We do not find any statistically significant evidence that night curfews have an effect on the spread of the pandemic,” says a preliminary version of the study, published by the Department of Economics at the University of Giessen on Tuesday. Nocturnal curfews “did not contribute to a decrease in incidences”.
Political correspondent for Hesse, Rhineland-Palatinate and Saarland, based in Wiesbaden.
For the study, the incidence values of the Robert Koch Institute were examined in several districts and urban districts in Hesse, in which night curfews had been imposed. The study period was the “second wave” of the pandemic, i.e. from mid-November 2020 to the end of February 2021. According to the study, there were night curfews in 15 of 26 districts and independent cities in Hesse during this time. These lasted an average of 28 days, the longest in Fulda at 55 days. The development of the incidence of counties and urban districts in which curfews were imposed was compared with those in which this was not the case. Possible delays due to incubation times and delays in reporting were taken into account.
“Not an effective means”
The results suggested that night curfews were “not an effective way” to limit the transmission of the virus if other measures were already implemented, the scientists write in the eight-page paper. The study also raises doubts about the effect of further measures to combat the pandemic that were imposed along with the exit restrictions.
The researchers point out that along with the curfews, for example, the range of motion was restricted and indoor sports were forbidden. The different effects of these measures could not be distinguished, but none of the three “in their totality showed no significant effect in our analysis,” said Götz Georg, Professor of Economics in Giessen and co-author of the study, the FAZ
The latest amendment to the Infection Protection Act (“Federal Emergency Brake”), which will be debated in the Bundestag this Wednesday, provides for a nationwide night curfew from 10 p.m. to 5 a.m. for districts or urban districts in which the incidence is above that for seven days Value of 100 was. This is intended to restrict mobility and reduce contacts. However, researchers from the Robert Koch Institute and Humboldt University recently published data that suggest that Curfews have little effect on overall mobility as this is only very low late in the evening and at night anyway.
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