What happens to the 5 Stars after Beppe Grillo’s ‘vaffa’ to Giuseppe Conte? Will the Movement still exist after the ex-premier’s exit? “The key question is not if there is a 5 Star Movement without a Count, but if there is a 5 Star Movement without a Cricket”, he explains to Affaritaliani.it the pollster Alessandra Ghisleri, director of Euromedia Research. “Grillo is the only iconography left by the 5 Stars, after the death of Gianroberto Casaleggio. In politics, anything can happen and it is true that everyone is useful and no one is indispensable, but after the difficulty that the M5S had in finding the government team on issues such as Ilva and Tap it is very complicated to think of the Movement without its founder. Conte, on the other hand, arrived later and the same is not true for him “. According to Ghisleri, the internal clash of the M5S appears as “a discussion on the logic of power, it will be necessary to see what the voters are saying in the coming days with the polls we are starting now”.
Nicola Piepoli, founder and president of the Piepoli Institute, thinks that “the M5S without a Count will not lose a single vote, it will remain where it is today, thanks also to the role that Luigi Di Maio, foreign minister and a very smart young man who has grown considerably can play in the role of government. Grillo did well not to have a political role in the first person but to stay behind the scenes “. The chances for Conte are scarce, according to Piepoli, if he decides to make his own list. “The former prime minister, despite being an aggregator, lacks that something to be able to be successful with one of his parties”.
Renato Mannheimer (Eumetra) believes that the M5S is in any case “in decline, with or without Conte. Of course, the decline is faster without the former prime minister. A base of ‘vaffa’ and protest remains, around 8-10 %. The same percentage that a possible Conte list would have, which would have a hard time transforming its great popularity into votes, especially since the elections are in two years’ time. A very long time “.
Calls for caution Maurizio Pessi, vice president of Swg. “So far it has been understood that there has been a quarrel between Conte and Grillo, but no one knows how it will end. Who will be in the new directorate? Only Conte leaves or will he take away someone from the Movement? Too soon to have these answers? , more information is needed. However, it is possible that there is a loss of 2-3 percentage points in the next survey due to the disorientation that exists in a slice of M5S voters who did not understand what happened and what will happen now “.