Lula has 43% against Bolsonaro’s 36%, shows BTG/FSB poll

In the last survey, released on August 22, the PT appeared with 45%, against the same 36% of the president.

search of FSB Communication to the bank BTG Pactual released this Monday (29.Aug.2022) shows the former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) with 43% of voting intentions in the 1st round of the October presidential elections. The Chief Executive, Jair Bolsonaro (PL), has 36%.

In the last search, released on August 22PT appeared with 45%, against the same 36% of the president.

The survey conducted 2,000 interviews from August 26 to 28, 2022. It is registered in the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) with number BR-08934/2022. The margin of error is 2 percentage points for a 95% confidence interval. It cost BRL 128,957.83 and was paid by the BTG Pactual bank.

Following Lula and Bolsonaro appear:

Jose Maria Eymael (A.D), Soraya Thronicke (Brazil Union), Felipe D’Ávila (Young), Sofia Manzano (PCB), Leonardo Pericles (UP) and Roberto Jefferson (PTB) did not score. Blanks and nulls were not mentioned. Don’t know or didn’t answer add up to 3%.

2nd TURN

In the simulation of a 2nd round between Lula and Bolsonaro, Lula would win with 52% of the votes and Bolsonaro would get 39%.

If the clash is between Lula and Ciro, the PT would win by 47% to 32%. In the scenario between the former president and senator Simone Tebet, the score is 51% for Lula against 30% for Tebet.

If Bolsonaro moves to the 2nd stage with Ciro, the PDT candidate would win the dispute by 49% to 41%. In a dispute between Bolsonaro and Tebet, the senator gets 44% and the president, 42%.

POWERDATA

Search PowerDate held from the 14th to the 16th of August shows that Lula has a 7 percentage point advantage over Bolsonaro in the 1st round. The PT has 44%; the president scores 37%.

Ciro Gomes (PDT) has 6%. Technically ties with Simone Tebet (MDB), who scores 4%, considering a margin of error of 2 percentage points. Sofia Manzano (PCB) appears with 1%.

It was the 1st time the PowerDate tested the names of Soraya Thronicke (União Brasil) and Roberto Jefferson (PTB) in the 1st round scenario. Neither of the 2 had enough mentions to score. Eymael (DC), Pablo Marçal (Pros), Felipe d’Avila (Novo), Vera Lúcia (PSTU) and Leonardo Péricles (UP) also did not reach 1%.

In an eventual 2nd round, Lula has an advantage of 14 points over Bolsonaro. The PT scores 52% against 38% for the president.

The survey was carried out by PowerDate, a company of the Poder360 Jornalismo group, with its own resources. Data were collected from August 14 to 16, 2022, through calls to cell phones and landlines. There were 3,500 interviews in 331 municipalities in the 27 units of the Federation. The margin of error is 2 percentage points. The confidence interval is 95%. The TSE registration is BR-02548/2022.

RESEARCH AGGREGATOR

O Power 360 maintains a collection with thousands of surveys with known methodologies and on which it was possible to verify the origin of the information. There have been studies carried out since the 2000 municipal elections. This is the largest and longest-running survey of electoral research available on the Brazilian internet.

The database is interactive and allows you to follow the progress of each candidate. Access the Research Aggregator clicking here.

Research information began to be compiled by the journalist Fernando RodriguesEditor-in-Chief of Power 360on its website, in the year 2000. To access the old page with the surveys, Click here.