The draw at the Olimpico complicated things: if the Azzurri triumphed in Belfast with Northern Ireland and Switzerland beat Bulgaria in Lucerne, we would have to look at the goal difference and the goals scored. If these were also tied, we would go to the play-offs for away goals in head-to-head matches
There is only one match left to decide Italy’s World Cup destiny. On Monday evening in Belfast Mancini’s blues challenge Northern Ireland in the decisive 90 minutes for qualification in Qatar. After the draw at the Olimpico, the classification of Group C currently sees Italy and Switzerland in the lead, both at 15 points. Our national team, however, is in front for general goal difference (+11 for the Azzurri against +9), the first element that is looked at in the event of a tie, followed by the number of goals scored (12 against 10).
Between Belfast and Lucerne
To qualify, Italy must therefore score more points in Belfast than the Swiss, committed against Bulgaria at home, in Lucerne (away Yakin’s men won 3-1). In the event of a further tie (so if both win, draw or lose) you should look at the goal difference: for example, if Italy wins 1-0 and Switzerland wins 4-0, the goal difference would be favorable to the Swiss, but in case of a tie, the goal difference would benefit us. Another case: if Italy wins 2-1 and Switzerland 3-0, the Azzurri pass for the highest number of goals scored with the same goal difference. But there is more, with our 1-0 and theirs 3-0, therefore with the same goal difference and goals scored, Switzerland would still qualify: the third criterion concerns in fact the goals scored away in head-to-head matches. and Italy drew 0-0 in Basel, while at the Olimpico match Switzerland scored a goal that could prove decisive.
November 12, 2021 (change November 12, 2021 | 23:06)
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