Watch out for Switzerland and the goals: it’s a Monday night with 90 minutes of thrilling between Belfast and Lucerne
It is well known that the situation with Switzerland complicated the blue situation in the race for the World Cup. The Azzurri, European champions just four months ago, still have qualification in their hands, but winning is not enough. The possible combinations between Italy and Switzerland have multiplied, obviously in the event of an equal finish. Any double draw would promote the Azzurri, but this option is unlikely. A defeat for both perhaps impossible, but in that case the calculations would not stray from those of victory: it would be enough to consider the minus sign and not the plus, in counting the goals scored. But let’s proceed in order.
The criteria for those who reach equal points are, first of all, the best overall goal difference (the current situation sees Italy at +11 and Switzerland at +9) and immediately afterwards the highest number of goals scored in the group (13 against11 in favor of Azzurri). Then the points obtained, the goal difference and the goals scored in the matches between the teams on equal points, but being everything in balance it is the last parameter that condemns us: the goals scored away between the teams concerned are worth double. And here the Azzurri fall, with the goal conceded on 11 ‘at the Olimpico by Widmer on Friday night. The Fair Play ranking, the last criterion, is offside at this point.
The casuistry remains infinite. Italy passes if they win in Belfast and Switzerland does not win or does so with a maximum difference of one goal more than the Azzurri: at that point it would be 18 points each, and Italy ahead by one goal in goal difference. With two draws still ahead Italy, as mentioned, because the current situation would have crystallized. in less. But there is also the possibility of absolute parity: for example, if the two teams win respectively 1-0 and 3-0, at that point the goal difference would also be in perfect balance (14-2 and 14-2): the the first valid criterion would therefore be the away goal in the direct match, which favors Switzerland. Another case in point: Italy wins 2-1, Switzerland 3-0, the Azzurri pass for the highest number of goals scored with the same goal difference. In short, a Monday evening with 90 minutes thrilling between Belfast and Lucerne.
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