Mancini’s team has always been the favorite in every match played so far in the European Championships and against the English.
Genoa – How many chances does Italy have to overtake England in the final? A little less than the English have to defeat the Azzurri. The 45.6% to be exact. A difference not huge but enough to tip the scales on the side of the Queen’s Lions.
And certainly some weight on the odds plate has added to it the field factor. As is known, in fact, they will be played at Wembley and the home team always has a few more advantages which are taken into account in the predictions.
The percentage is derived from the bookmakers. To get to the 45.6% above it is enough to take the odds reported by Pinnacle, portal specialized in betting, e extract the implied probabilities that a certain result occurs. The odds of the bookmakers, in fact, are nothing more than forecasts on the possibility that a certain outcome of the match will take place net of the profit margin of the same agencies.
In the previous matches Mancini’s Azzurri have always been favorites: 58% with Belgium 56% with Spain to stop in the last two games. And so far the predictions have always been respected.
Now, for the first time, Italy – which in London will also be supported by President Mattarella – finds itself on the wrong side of the forecast and therefore it is to be hoped that in this case the forecasts of the betting lords will prove to be wrong.
SUBSCRIBE HERE TO THE ALL GENOA, ALL SAMP AND ALL SPICE NEWSLETTERS