With the advent of the State of Law coalition, led by former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, second after the Sadrist bloc in terms of the arrangement of Shiite forces, statements by leaders in the State of Law and in the coordinating framework that includes it with Al-Fateh and a group of smaller Shiite forces, indicate that they intend to conclude an expanded alliance , to form the largest bloc in the new parliament, enabling it to form the government, as they say.
And to comment on the overall interactions and transformations brought about by the results of the primary elections in the map of the Iraqi Shiite forces, and the nature and form of the upcoming alliances and alignments, the Iraqi political researcher Ahmed Al-Adhami says, in an interview with Sky News Arabia: “What the leadership in the state of law, Alia Nassif, said about Their coalition was able to form a new coalition of 85 deputies, with the Al-Fateh Alliance and other blocs, which is not surprising.
The results of the elections are true that they brought al-Maliki back to the fore, as al-Adhami explains, adding: “No, it made the entire Al-Fateh alliance under its banner, but the Sadrists have the ability, for example, to ally with the Kurdistan Democratic Party, which won 34 seats due to the remarkable rapprochement between the two parties during the period. The latter, which makes this enough for them to remain as a powerful force in Parliament, and Al-Maliki here, by winning more than 85 deputies, is also trying to create a barrier in Parliament to prevent any project or decision aiming to fully integrate the Popular Mobilization Forces with the security forces, because this will directly lead to the crowd losing all its ideological leaders, On which he depends in his formation and loyalty to Iran, and this may mean the end of the crowd completely.”
Al-Adhamy elaborates on the background of the alliance between the State of Law and Al-Fateh, saying: “This alliance also stands against any project that could harm the financing of the Popular Mobilization in any way, in order to preserve the gains made by these parties through the mobilization, and to return to the scene of negotiation to form the Iraqi government. The new alliance, even if the Sadrist Sairoon alliance is the strongest, but it knows that it will not be able to form a government without a political agreement, as happened with previous governments, and this agreement will be the master of the situation during the near next stage.
As for the biggest and clear bet for the rule of law, it is on what will result from the high pressure applied now on the Electoral Commission, as the Iraqi researcher sees, saying: “If it managed to gain a number of seats as a result of this pressure, the equation might turn on al-Sadr, and al-Sadr would be forced to search for Other parties are added to the Kurdistan Democratic Party, to keep its chances strong in its quest for the prime ministership to be a Sadrist.
As for the director of the Center for Political Thinking, Ihsan Al-Shammari, he points to the profound shifts in the mood of the Iraqi Shiite voter, saying: “This decline in the number of seats in the Shiite Fatah bloc clearly means that the Iraqi Shiites, as a component and voters, are against the engulfment of Iraq by certain regional powers that control the decision. The Iraqi politician, especially since we are now observing the rise of what can be called nationalist Shiites, as a national and patriotic trend in the Iraqi Shiite street, is sweeping the scene, pressing towards ensuring the independence of Iraq, and liberating it from external domination from beyond the borders.
Al-Fateh and its allies, did nothing when they formed the Iraqi government, after the 2018 elections, as Al-Shammari sees, following: “They failed miserably, entering Iraq into a conflict axes, and Iraq almost became an arena for settling regional and international accounts, in addition to the fact that they do not have a program of work for managing the state. And the conduct of its affairs, and therefore they relied on empty slogans, and their discourse, especially in recent times, has become a purely sectarian discourse, and this matter is no longer acceptable even among Shiites, for there to be a talk with a sectarian spirit.
The Iraqi academic continues, saying: “It seems premature now to speculate about the outcome of the raging conflict over the parliamentary quotas, which, after the dust of its battles, and determining the exact size of the blocs and the exact number of seats, will then be able to accurately discern the scene, but in general, the fortunes of the Fatah bloc and those who wrapped it in the nail The formation of the government seems insignificant.”
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