Russia has already managed to control a significant proportion of the territory of the Donbass region in eastern Ukraine, as well as vital areas in southern Ukraine, but the Ukrainian forces were able to stand in front of the Russian advance.
In the meantime, Moscow asserts that what the West sees as a kind of slowness that aims primarily to protect the lives of civilians, saying that the military operations are going according to what is strictly planned.
According to the New York Times, the Ukrainian army made major surprises in this war, benefiting from the generous military aid provided by the United States.
The source pointed out that the Ukrainian forces managed, for example, to sink the Russian warship “Moskova” in the waters of the Black Sea, last April, and then launched an attack on a Russian military air base in the Crimea, an area that Russia annexed in 2014.
Ukrainian counter-factors
• The Ukrainian army resorted to improvised and unconventional methods, in order to benefit from the weapons obtained by the country. For example, they installed missile systems on speedboats, which led to an increase in Ukraine’s naval power.
• Ukraine has been able to continue attacking Russian targets, through the Bayraktar drones, although the latter is moving at a not very fast speed that does not exceed 80 miles per hour.
• Ukraine has also benefited from the low cost of “Bayraktar” planes, and has made modifications to some of the marches so that they can carry bombs and ammunition in order to hit Russian targets.
• The CEO of “Bayrakdar” company, Khaluk Bayrakdar, himself said in a television interview that the Ukrainians benefited from the rallies to the maximum extent possible.
• In “another jurisprudence”, the Ukrainian army placed American “HARM” anti-radar missiles on board the Soviet MiG-29 fighters, something that had never been done before in any military context, according to a US Defense Department official. The Pentagon.”
• The Ukrainians made modifications to the targeting sensors on those planes, so that they would be able to launch the Americans’ missiles, and they succeeded in the mission, according to what the New York Times quoted the unnamed American official as saying.
• The United States provided intelligence support for the Ukrainian army.
The Ukrainian soldiers have a military doctrine that makes them fight with “hardness and stubbornness”, while there were those who were likely to collapse the Ukrainian army within days, and Kyiv would fall, which did not happen. Examples of this also are what happened at the “Azovstal” factory. in Mariupol, where the besieged soldiers continued to entrench, surrendering only when ordered to do so.
Obstacles to Ukrainians:
• Military estimates indicate that Ukraine loses between 100 and 200 soldiers from the army on a daily basis in the midst of the ongoing battles, which means that the human cost of the war is very high.
• Ukraine gets Western military support, within a scope described as “limited” despite its generosity, because the West fears that granting “critical” weapons to Kiev will irritate Moscow, and then a confrontation with a nuclear international might occur.
• Ukraine fears that the war will enter a long period of attrition, while the country’s economy has been severely affected, even if estimates indicate that tens of thousands of casualties have also occurred on the Russian side, including dead and wounded.
• Russia was able to limit the impact of Western sanctions on the economy, and also benefited from the oil price boom. This makes Moscow in a somewhat comfortable position, and in no hurry to negotiate and end the war.
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