Kamala Harris and Donald Trump arrive tied in the polls to the United States presidential elections that are celebrated this Tuesday. The uncertainty will be elucidated in seven key states on which all eyes will be focused.
Harris leads Trump in the popular vote with 48%, who has 46.9%according to poll aggregator Five Thirty Eight. This has been the trend of the last month, with a slight decrease in support for the Democratic candidate while Trump has managed to increase his base by a very small margin.
However, this figure of popular vote has only relative importance because In the United States, the presidential election is decided indirectly through the Electoral College.which has 538 delegates. This system allows a candidate to win the presidency even if he loses the popular vote.
Each of the country’s 50 states distributes a specific number of delegates. Most states have a clear voting trend, but there are seven considered “hinge” that could opt for any of the candidates: Georgia, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Arizona.
It is in these states where the candidates are dedicating most of their time, which has been reflected in their agendas this last week.
This Monday, Harris spent the day in Pennsylvania, the state he most needs to win, with rallies in Scranton, Allentown and Pittsburgh and then moved to Philadelphia, where he was joined by artists such as Lady Gaga, Kate Perry or Ricky Martin.
While Trump toured North Carolina, with a rally in Raleigh, Pennsylvania with stops in Reading and Pittsburgh, and ended in Grand Rapids, Michigan.
The look at the key states
According to surveys aggregated in recent days, The Democrat surpasses the Republican only in the states of Wisconsin (which sends 10 delegates to the Electoral College) and Michigan (15 delegates) by just a tenth in both; 48.3% for Harris compared to 47.3% in Wisconsin, and 48% compared to 47% for Trump in Michigan.
While Trump leads in North Carolina (which sends 16 delegates), Georgia (16 other delegates) and Arizona (11 delegates) also with a very short distance of between one and two points.
Pennsylvaniathe state with the most delegates (19), and Snowfall (6 delegates) They are the two biggest unknownssince both candidates are tied with less than half a point margin.
However, while a few months ago the advantage in these two territories was held by Harris, Now the balance seems to lean, within the margins of error, on Trumpwhich takes 47.9% compared to 47.8% in Pennsylvania and 47.8% compared to 47.4% in Nevada. The margin, however, basically leaves them tied.
Trump and Harris tie in Dixville Notch, the first town to vote in the United States
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris tied this past morning in the district of Dixville Notch (New Hampshire), which historically is the first town to vote in the country on election day.
The six voters of this district cast their ballots at midnight and were immediately able to certify the result: three votes for Trump and another three for Harris, a tie that seems to agree with the polls that show very narrow margins in the most important states in these elections.
In 2020, the current president, Democrat Joe Biden, won in Dixville Notch by five votes to zero and the results of the last elections there have been relatively aligned with the national trend.
The tradition of voting in the first minutes of election day in this area of the northeast of the United States dates back to 1960 and since then only two leaders have obtained all the votes of their residents: Richard Nixon, in that same year, and Biden in 2020.
Polling stations in the rest of the country will begin to open early this Tuesday morning and will begin to close at 6:00 p.m. Eastern Time in the United States.
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